OKE Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

OKE - Oneok, Inc.

NATURAL GAS TRANSMISSION & DISTRIBUTION
$93.33
-1.27 (-1.34%) â–ŧ
5d: -1.75%
30d: +0.11%
90d: +0.77%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
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Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 03, 2026 0d
Smart Money Distribution

Options positioning is turning defensive after a sharp run-up - a pattern consistent with institutional profit-taking. View Scanner →

Signal fired Aug 7, 2026 at $88.81 · last confirmed Aug 19, 2026

Strength: 5.9/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
â„šī¸ NEUTRAL: OKE is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 2.6% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$113.04
Based on 5.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$70.19
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.9x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: OKE is currently trading at $93.33, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $88.97 to $94.31. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 15.0) is in line with its historical norms (13.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.6% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, OKE is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $87.32, while resistance sits at $97.90.

Market Sentiment: OKE scores 20/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range $88.97 - $94.31
Company Quality Score 35/100 (SELL)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 39.0%

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All Signals

  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (20/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($96.48)
  • NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 2.6% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
  • WARNING: Composite score 35/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $88.97 - $94.31
Current vs Trading Range SLIGHTLY HIGH

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $87.32
Resistance Level $97.90
Current Trend Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of Aug 21, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 15.03
Wall Street Target $96.48 (+3.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 52.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 14.2%
Profit Margin 9.3%
Valuation Premium vs History +2.6% premium
PE vs Historical 15.0 vs 13.9 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +2.6% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $95.76 (+3%)
2-Year Target $98.25 (+5%)
3-Year Target $100.80 (+8%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 15→14) PE COMPRESSION $93.22 (0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 20.1, Growth: 7.1%) $153.10 (+64%)
Base: (SPY PE: 15.0, Growth: 7.1%) $114.66 (+23%)
Bear: (PE: 12.8, Growth: 7.1%) $97.46 (+4%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (17x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (15x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 16.60 | Current EPS (TTM): $5.70
Bull Case $113.36 (+22%)
Analyst growth 8.9%, PE expands to 18.3
Base Case $103.05 (+10%)
Market implied 8.9%, PE stable at 16.6
Bear Case $64.33 (-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 14.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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Last updated: August 22, 2026 11:06 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:06 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
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Sells
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Net
NEUTRAL

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Advanced OKE Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's OKE price and gamma walls.

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