ET Energy Transfer LP Common Units representing limited partner interests NATURAL GAS TRANSMISSION Best Oil & Gas Stocks 2026 →

ET Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

$19.45
+0.02 (+0.10%) ▲
5d: -0.05% 30d: -5.03% 90d: -6.31%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (80%)
Quality Score
51/100
Position
OVERSOLD
30-Day Fair Range
$19.59 – $20.70
Position: OVERSOLD
Forward P/E & Valuation
11.4x FAIR
vs 11.9x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$24.87
+27.9% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$18.79 / $21.07
Trend: Downtrend
💡Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: ET shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Smart Money Accumulation

Options open interest is building while the stock consolidates - a pattern consistent with institutional accumulation. View Scanner →

Signal fired Nov 3, 2026 at $20.24 · last confirmed Nov 11, 2026

Strength: 8.0/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$39.59
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$24.58
20.9% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.9x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: ET is currently trading at $19.45, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $19.59 to $20.70. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 11.4) is in line with its historical norms (11.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.4% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 18.1% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, ET is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $18.79, while resistance sits at $21.07.

Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 53/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $24.87 (+27.9%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range $19.59 - $20.70
Company Quality Score 51/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 79.5%

Trading Range & Key Levels

30-Day Trading Range $19.59 - $20.70
Current vs Trading Range OVERSOLD
Support Level $18.79
Resistance Level $21.07
Current Trend Downtrend
Technical data as of Nov 11, 2026

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Quantitative Signal Breakdown

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (53/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 27.9% below Wall St target ($24.87)
  • WARNING: Composite score 51/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 11.38
Wall Street Target $24.87 (+27.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 85.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 18.1%
Profit Margin 4.4%
Valuation Discount vs History -1.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical 11.4 vs 11.9 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -1.4% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $19.18 (-1%)
2-Year Target $18.91 (-3%)
3-Year Target $18.64 (-4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 11→12) $19.49 (+0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 19.9, Growth: 88.6%) $34.84 (+79%)
Base: (SPY PE: 11.4, Growth: 88.6%) $19.97 (+3%)
Bear: (PE: 9.7, Growth: 88.6%) $16.98 (-13%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (13x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (11x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 12.87 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.51
Bull Case $24.18 (+24%)
Analyst growth 13.2%, PE expands to 14.2
Base Case $21.99 (+13%)
Market implied 13.2%, PE stable at 12.9
Bear Case $13.21 (-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 10.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 11.4 to 11.9
Stabilization Target: $20.33 (+4.5%)
PE Expansion Potential: +4.5%
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Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (ET)

Bullish 3 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
2
Bullish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Nov 11, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary: Wells Fargo maintains an 'overweight' rating on Energy Transfer (ET) after Q3, citing strong organic pipeline growth and higher commodity prices. The stock has a price target of $25 and a dividend yield of 7.2%.
Key Retail Themes: Strong organic pipeline growth Higher commodity prices
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams. View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 12, 2026 9:10 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:10 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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