Is ET stock a Buy, Sell, or Hold?

Based on our analysis, ET is currently a WAIT with low confidence. 📊 MIXED SIGNALS: ET shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.

What is the fair value of ET stock?

Our analysis estimates the fair value range for ET to be between $20.66 and $21.54. The current price is $21.55.

What is the analyst price target for ET?

The average Wall Street analyst price target for ET is $24.55. This implies a potential upside of 13.9% from current levels.

ET Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

ET - Energy Transfer LP Common Units representing limited partner interests

NATURAL GAS TRANSMISSION

$21.55

-0.18 (-0.83%) ▼

5d: +0.51%

30d: +2.86%

90d: +14.87%

WAIT

LOW Confidence

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Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET

Earnings: Nov 04, 2026

Smart Money Accumulation

Options open interest is building while the stock consolidates - a pattern consistent with institutional accumulation. View Scanner →

Signal fired Sep 4, 2026 at $21.50 · last confirmed Sep 9, 2026

Strength: 7.0/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡

Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: ET shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.

See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

Adjust Growth Assumption: -2.0%

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)

EST. PRICE IN 2031

$20.85

Based on 1.0% avg growth

INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY

$12.95

Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.8x Exit PE.

View Full DCF Model

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: ET is currently trading at $21.55, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $20.66 to $21.54. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 12.8) is in line with its historical norms (11.8). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.7% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, ET is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $21.23. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 47/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $24.55 (+13.9%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED

Historical Trading Range $20.66 - $21.54

Company Quality Score 46/100 (HOLD)

Volume Confirmation HIGH

Confidence Score 49.5%

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All Signals

BEARISH: Price extended above range
NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (47/100)
BULLISH: High volume confirmation
BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($24.55)
NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 2.7% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
WARNING: Composite score 46/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $20.66 - $21.54

Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $21.23

Resistance Level $21.84

Current Trend Strong Uptrend

Technical data as of Sep 11, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 12.80

Wall Street Target $24.56 (+13.9%)

Revenue Growth (YoY) 78.4%

Earnings Growth (YoY) 85.3%

Profit Margin 4.9%

Valuation Premium vs History +2.7% premium

PE vs Historical 12.8 vs 11.8 FAIR

Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists

Implied Growth (YoY): +2.7% (market-implied from PE analysis)

1-Year Target $22.13 (+3%)

2-Year Target $22.73 (+6%)

3-Year Target $23.34 (+8%)

3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 13→12) PE COMPRESSION $21.51 (0%)

Earnings growth offset by PE compression

3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth

Bull: (PE: 20.2, Growth: -2.0%) $31.93 (+48%)

Base: (SPY PE: 12.8, Growth: -2.0%) $20.27 (-6%)

Bear: (PE: 10.9, Growth: -2.0%) $17.23 (-20%)

📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings

RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (15x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (13x PE) as earnings recover.

Trailing PE: 14.88 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.46

Bull Case $27.56 (+28%)

Analyst growth 15.3%, PE expands to 16.4

Base Case $25.05 (+16%)

Market implied 15.3%, PE stable at 14.9

Bear Case $14.78 (-31%)

Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 12.7

These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.

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Last updated: September 12, 2026 6:07 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:07 PM

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Insider Activity (6 Months)

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