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ET Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

ET - Energy Transfer LP Common Units representing limited partner interests

NATURAL GAS TRANSMISSION
$20.47
0.37 (1.84%) ▲
5d: +1.39%
30d: -4.97%
90d: +6.34%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Protect Your ET Gains
Analysis Updated: Oct 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 04, 2026
Smart Money Distribution

Options positioning is turning defensive after a sharp run-up - a pattern consistent with institutional profit-taking. View Scanner →

Signal fired Oct 2, 2026 at $20.34 · last confirmed Oct 2, 2026

Strength: 4.7/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: ET is fairly valued with market pricing in 0.9% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$21.06
Based on 1.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$13.08
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.9x Exit PE.

View Full DCF Model

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: ET is currently trading at $20.47, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $20.41 to $21.58. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 12.2) is in line with its historical norms (11.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.9% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, ET is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $19.59, while resistance sits at $21.12.

Market Sentiment: ET scores 73/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $24.70 (+20.7%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range $20.41 - $21.58
Company Quality Score 58/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 91.4%

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All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (73/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 20.7% below Wall St target ($24.70)
  • NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.9% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
  • CAUTION: Bottoming setup, but lagging the sector by 19% over 20 days — wait for relative strength

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $20.41 - $21.58
Current vs Trading Range SLIGHTLY LOW

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $19.59
Resistance Level $21.12
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of Oct 2, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 12.18
Wall Street Target $24.70 (+20.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 78.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 85.3%
Profit Margin 4.9%
Valuation Premium vs History +0.9% premium
PE vs Historical 12.2 vs 11.9 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +0.9% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $20.65 (+1%)
2-Year Target $20.84 (+2%)
3-Year Target $21.03 (+3%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 12→12) PE COMPRESSION $20.55 (+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 20.4, Growth: -1.9%) $32.37 (+58%)
Base: (SPY PE: 12.2, Growth: -1.9%) $19.32 (-6%)
Bear: (PE: 10.3, Growth: -1.9%) $16.42 (-20%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (14x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (12x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 13.58 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.48
Bull Case $25.12 (+23%)
Analyst growth 13.6%, PE expands to 14.9
Base Case $22.83 (+12%)
Market implied 13.6%, PE stable at 13.6
Bear Case $13.67 (-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 11.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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Last updated: October 02, 2026 7:18 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:18 PM
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Insider Activity (6 Months)
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NEUTRAL

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