TC Energy (TRP) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$64.30
+0.84 (+1.32%)
▲
5d:
+2.7%
30d:
+4.47%
90d:
+1.84%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
BUY
MODERATE Confidence (58%)
Quality Score
57/100
Position
EXTENDED
30-Day Fair Range
$60.22 – $63.30
Position: EXTENDED
Forward P/E & Valuation
16.3x
FAIR
vs 16.2x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$66.95
+4.1% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$60.78 / $64.95
Trend: Strong Downtrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: TRP shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.2% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$78.68
Based on 4.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$48.86
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 16.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TRP is currently trading at $64.30, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $60.22 to $63.30. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 16.3) is in line with its historical norms (16.2). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.2% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TRP is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $64.95. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: TRP scores 61/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TRP is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $64.95. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: TRP scores 61/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$60.22 -
$63.30
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
58.1%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$60.22 -
$63.30
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support Level
$60.78
Resistance Level
$64.95
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Nov 11, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (61/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($66.95)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.2% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 61/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
16.26
Wall Street Target
$66.95
(+4.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
8.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
67.9%
Profit Margin
25.1%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.2% premium
PE vs Historical
16.3 vs 16.2
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$64.43
(+0%)
2-Year Target
$64.56
(+0%)
3-Year Target
$64.69
(+1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 16→16)
PE COMPRESSION
$64.44
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 4.4%)
$89.39
(+39%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 16.3, Growth: 4.4%)
$73.19
(+14%)
Bear:
(PE: 13.8, Growth: 4.4%)
$62.21
(-3%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (23x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (16x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 23.18 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.71
Bull Case
$100.29
(+58%)
Analyst growth 45.1%, PE expands to 25.5
Base Case
$91.17
(+44%)
Market implied 45.1%, PE stable at 23.2
Bear Case
$42.72
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 19.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (TRP)
Bullish
2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bearish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Oct 25, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
Dividend 15 Split Corp. declared a monthly distribution for Class A and Preferred shares, with a total combined payout of $41.25 per share since inception.
Key Retail Themes:
Dividend Declaration
Performance of Canadian Dividend Stocks
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
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Last updated: November 11, 2026 4:27 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:27 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:27 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is TRP showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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