TC Energy (TRP) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
TRP - TC Energy Corporation
$58.83
0.21 (0.36%)
▲
5d:
+0.09%
30d:
-5.86%
90d:
-12.13%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 1, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 05, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: TRP shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: TRP shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$78.67
Based on 4.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$48.85
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 16.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TRP is currently trading at $58.83, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $59.56 to $62.79. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 15.0) is in line with its historical norms (16.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.7% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 18.3% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TRP is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $57.21. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 42/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $65.73 (+12.1%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TRP is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $57.21. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 42/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $65.73 (+12.1%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$59.56 -
$62.79
Company Quality Score
48/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
77.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (42/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($65.73)
- WARNING: Composite score 48/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$59.56 -
$62.79
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$57.21
Resistance Level
$62.34
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 1, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
14.97
Wall Street Target
$65.73
(+12.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
5.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
18.3%
Profit Margin
22.9%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
15.0 vs 16.2
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$57.04
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$55.50
(-5%)
3-Year Target
$54.00
(-8%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 15→16)
$58.43
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.4, Growth: 4.8%)
$91.86
(+57%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 15.0, Growth: 4.8%)
$67.42
(+15%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.7, Growth: 4.8%)
$57.30
(-2%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (23x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (15x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 23.30 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.48
Bull Case
$100.35
(+71%)
Analyst growth 57.9%, PE expands to 25.6
Base Case
$91.23
(+56%)
Market implied 57.9%, PE stable at 23.3
Bear Case
$39.29
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 19.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 15.0 to 16.2
Stabilization Target:
$63.43
(+8.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+8.2%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 02, 2026 10:22 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:22 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:22 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is TRP showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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