TC Energy (TRP) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
TRP - TC Energy Corporation
$60.88
-1.03 (-1.66%)
▼
5d:
-3.18%
30d:
-4.29%
90d:
-12.16%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 05, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: TRP shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: TRP shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$79.41
Based on 4.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$49.30
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 16.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TRP is currently trading at $60.88, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $62.03 to $64.09. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 15.5) is in line with its historical norms (16.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.6% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 18.3% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TRP is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $60.37. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 48/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $67.12 (+10.2%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TRP is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $60.37. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 48/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $67.12 (+10.2%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$62.03 -
$64.09
Company Quality Score
44/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
77.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (48/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($67.12)
- WARNING: Composite score 44/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$62.03 -
$64.09
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$60.37
Resistance Level
$63.99
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
15.54
Wall Street Target
$67.12
(+10.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
5.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
18.3%
Profit Margin
22.9%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
15.5 vs 16.3
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$59.91
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$58.95
(-3%)
3-Year Target
$58.00
(-5%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 16→16)
$60.86
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: 4.9%)
$91.22
(+50%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 15.5, Growth: 4.9%)
$70.27
(+15%)
Bear:
(PE: 13.2, Growth: 4.9%)
$59.73
(-2%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (24x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (16x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 24.37 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.54
Bull Case
$105.06
(+73%)
Analyst growth 54.3%, PE expands to 26.8
Base Case
$95.51
(+57%)
Market implied 54.3%, PE stable at 24.4
Bear Case
$42.10
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 20.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 15.5 to 16.3
Stabilization Target:
$63.87
(+4.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+4.9%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 12, 2026 6:14 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:14 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:14 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is TRP showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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