OLN Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

OLN - Olin Corp.

CHEMICALS & ALLIED PRODUCTS
$21.46
-0.08 (-0.37%) ▼
5d: -15.18%
30d: -17.52%
90d: -15.04%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
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Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 27, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation

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Strength: 7.1/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: OLN shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$45.36
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$28.16
23.8% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: OLN is currently trading at $21.46, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $23.42 to $26.51. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 23.0) compared to its historical average (30.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 8.9% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, OLN is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $23.93. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: OLN has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $30.14 (+40.5%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range $23.42 - $26.51
Company Quality Score 52/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 57.1%

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All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 40.5% below Wall St target ($30.14)
  • CAUTION: 5-day price weakness (-15.2%) - monitor closely

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $23.42 - $26.51
Current vs Trading Range OVERSOLD

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $23.93
Resistance Level $26.91
Current Trend Uptrend
Technical data as of Jun 9, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 23.03
Wall Street Target $30.14 (+40.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) -3.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -97.5%
Profit Margin -2.8%
Valuation Discount vs History -8.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical 23.0 vs 30.4 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -8.9% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $19.55 (-9%)
2-Year Target $17.81 (-17%)
3-Year Target $16.23 (-24%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 23→30) $21.41 (0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 23.0, Growth: 201.8%) $72.43 (+238%)
Base: (SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: 201.8%) $68.49 (+219%)
Bear: (PE: 18.5, Growth: 201.8%) $58.21 (+171%)
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 23.0 to 30.4
Stabilization Target: $28.32 (+32.0%)
PE Expansion Potential: +32.0%
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Last updated: June 23, 2026 9:04 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:04 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
3
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Angela M Castle SELL 2379 shares 2026-02-24
R Nichole Sumner SELL 4750 shares 2026-02-03
Todd A Slater SELL 92250 shares 2026-02-03

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Advanced OLN Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's OLN price and gamma walls.

Iron Condor Bull Call Bear Put Collar

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