OPCH Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
OPCH - Option Care Health, Inc. Common Stock
$23.70
0.67 (2.91%)
▲
5d:
+8.67%
30d:
+8.22%
90d:
+18.32%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 29, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: OPCH shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: OPCH shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$39.69
Based on 6.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$24.65
3.8% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: OPCH is currently trading at $23.70, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $21.13 to $22.56. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 11.5) compared to its historical average (13.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 6.1% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 12.9% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, OPCH is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $20.68, while resistance sits at $24.96.
Market Sentiment: OPCH has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $28.58 (+20.6%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, OPCH is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $20.68, while resistance sits at $24.96.
Market Sentiment: OPCH has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $28.58 (+20.6%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$21.13 -
$22.56
Company Quality Score
45/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range (+5.1% above its trading range)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 20.6% below Wall St target ($28.58)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$21.13 -
$22.56
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$20.68
Resistance Level
$24.96
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Aug 3, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.47
Wall Street Target
$28.58
(+20.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
1.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
12.9%
Profit Margin
3.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-6.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
11.5 vs 13.8
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-6.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$22.25
(-6%)
2-Year Target
$20.90
(-12%)
3-Year Target
$19.62
(-17%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11→14)
$23.62
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.7, Growth: 9.7%)
$56.55
(+139%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.5, Growth: 9.7%)
$31.28
(+32%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.7, Growth: 9.7%)
$26.59
(+12%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (17x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (11x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 17.45 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.32
Bull Case
$39.67
(+67%)
Analyst growth 56.6%, PE expands to 19.2
Base Case
$36.06
(+52%)
Market implied 56.6%, PE stable at 17.5
Bear Case
$15.66
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 14.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 11.5 to 13.8
Stabilization Target:
$28.52
(+20.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+20.4%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 03, 2026 7:53 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:53 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:53 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is OPCH showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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