ADUS
Addus HomeCare Corp.
SERVICES-HOME HEALTH CARE SERVICES
Addus HomeCare (ADUS) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$126.29
+3.87 (+3.16%)
▲
5d:
-0.21%
30d:
+9.37%
90d:
+6.97%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (54%)
Quality Score
45/100
Position
EXTENDED
30-Day Fair Range
$115.01 – $124.79
Position: EXTENDED
Forward P/E & Valuation
16.6x
FAIR
vs 14.7x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$140.92
+11.6% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$120.03 / $131.59
Trend: Uptrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: ADUS shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$147.39
Based on 5.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$91.52
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ADUS is currently trading at $126.29, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $115.01 to $124.79. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 16.6) compared to its historical average (14.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 4.1% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ADUS is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $120.03, while resistance sits at $131.59. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.2% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 43/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $140.92 (+11.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ADUS is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $120.03, while resistance sits at $131.59. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.2% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 43/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $140.92 (+11.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$115.01 -
$124.79
Company Quality Score
45/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
54.3%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$115.01 -
$124.79
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support Level
$120.03
Resistance Level
$131.59
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Nov 10, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (43/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.2%)
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($140.92)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 4.1% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 44/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
16.61
Wall Street Target
$140.92
(+11.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
7.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
24.2%
Profit Margin
7.4%
Valuation Premium vs History
+4.1% premium
PE vs Historical
16.6 vs 14.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+4.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$131.47
(+4%)
2-Year Target
$136.86
(+8%)
3-Year Target
$142.47
(+13%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 17→15)
PE COMPRESSION
$126.06
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 7.4%)
$186.78
(+48%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 16.6, Growth: 7.4%)
$156.25
(+24%)
Bear:
(PE: 14.1, Growth: 7.4%)
$132.81
(+5%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (21x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (17x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 20.68 | Current EPS (TTM): $5.92
Bull Case
$172.91
(+37%)
Analyst growth 28.4%, PE expands to 22.8
Base Case
$157.19
(+25%)
Market implied 28.4%, PE stable at 20.7
Bear Case
$83.25
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 17.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (ADUS)
Bullish
2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bullish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
May 14, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
Addus HomeCare's Q1 earnings report showed a revenue miss, but strong growth in key areas like hospice and acquisitions. Management discussed the impact of weather and ongoing benefits from recent acquisitions.
Key Retail Themes:
Company performance
Management commentary
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 11, 2026 5:43 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:43 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:43 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ADUS showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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