HCA
HCA Healthcare, Inc.
SERVICES-GENERAL MEDICAL & SURGICAL HOSPITALS, NEC
HCA Healthcare (HCA) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$506.04
+1.62 (+0.32%)
▲
5d:
-0.91%
30d:
+9.83%
90d:
+22.9%
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70/30 Portfolio Builder
Earnings: Oct 27, 2026
0d
Protect HCA Gains
Updated Nov 11, 12:00 AM ET
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (21%)
Quality Score
34/100
Position
EXTENDED
30-Day Fair Range
$447.12 – $489.93
Position: EXTENDED
Forward P/E & Valuation
16.2x
STRETCHED
vs 14.0x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$477.27
-5.7% vs target
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$460.68 / $521.48
Trend: Strong Uptrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: HCA shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Smart Money Distribution
Options positioning is turning defensive after a sharp run-up - a pattern consistent with institutional profit-taking. View Scanner →
Signal fired Oct 28, 2026 at $463.22 · last confirmed Nov 5, 2026
Strength: 6.7/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$528.89
Based on 3.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$328.40
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: HCA is currently trading at $506.04, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $447.12 to $489.93. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 16.2) compared to its historical average (14.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 5.0% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HCA is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $460.68, while resistance sits at $521.48.
Market Sentiment: HCA scores 0/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HCA is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $460.68, while resistance sits at $521.48.
Market Sentiment: HCA scores 0/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$447.12 -
$489.93
Company Quality Score
34/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
20.5%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$447.12 -
$489.93
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support Level
$460.68
Resistance Level
$521.48
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Nov 11, 2026
Protect Your Profits
Holding HCA? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanQuantitative Signal Breakdown
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (0/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading above Wall St target ($477.27)
- NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 5.0% growth which is achievable
- WARNING: Composite score 34/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
16.18
Wall Street Target
$477.27
(-5.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
3.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
4.5%
Profit Margin
8.6%
Valuation Premium vs History
+5.0% premium
PE vs Historical
16.2 vs 14.0
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+5.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$531.34
(+5%)
2-Year Target
$557.91
(+10%)
3-Year Target
$585.80
(+16%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 16→14)
PE COMPRESSION
$506.88
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 3.7%)
$692.66
(+37%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 16.2, Growth: 3.7%)
$564.31
(+12%)
Bear:
(PE: 13.8, Growth: 3.7%)
$479.67
(-5%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (17x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (16x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 16.75 | Current EPS (TTM): $30.12
Bull Case
$576.15
(+14%)
Analyst growth 3.8%, PE expands to 18.4
Base Case
$523.77
(+4%)
Market implied 3.8%, PE stable at 16.8
Bear Case
$343.01
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 14.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (HCA)
Bullish
2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bullish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Nov 5, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
Stock market rallied after the midterm elections, with healthcare stocks like HCA Healthcare seeing significant gains. The article suggests that policy relief and a potential shift in political environment could be driving these moves.
Key Retail Themes:
post-election market rally
healthcare sector performance
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 11, 2026 7:30 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:30 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:30 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is HCA showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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