PANW Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
PANW - Palo Alto Networks, Inc. Common Stock
$279.62
0.09 (0.03%)
▲
5d:
+2.78%
30d:
+22.75%
90d:
+67.42%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 12, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jun 02, 2026
0d
Smart Money Distribution
None View Scanner →
Strength: 4.8/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: PANW shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 22.3% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: PANW shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 22.3% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$12.60
Based on -21.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$7.82
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: PANW is currently trading at $279.62, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $214.24 to $279.95. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 141.2) compared to its historical average (77.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 22.3% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PANW is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $251.15, while resistance sits at $302.95.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $310.32 (+11.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PANW is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $251.15, while resistance sits at $302.95.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $310.32 (+11.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$214.24 -
$279.95
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
61.9%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($310.32)
- NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 22.3% growth which is achievable
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$214.24 -
$279.95
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$251.15
Resistance Level
$302.95
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 12, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
141.24
Wall Street Target
$310.32
(+11.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
31.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
60.5%
Profit Margin
8.0%
Valuation Premium vs History
+22.3% premium
PE vs Historical
141.2 vs 77.1
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+22.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$341.98
(+22%)
2-Year Target
$418.24
(+50%)
3-Year Target
$511.50
(+83%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 141→77)
PE COMPRESSION
$279.21
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 141.2, Growth: -47.5%)
$203.84
(+-27%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.9, Growth: -47.5%)
$31.63
(-89%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.6, Growth: -47.5%)
$26.89
(-90%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Forward PE: 64.52 | Forward EPS (Implied): $4.33
Bull Case
$337.64
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 67.7
Base Case
$279.62
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 64.5
Bear Case
$213.91
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 58.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 14, 2026 10:53 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:53 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:53 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is PANW showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
8
Buys
12
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
John P Key
SELL
1572 shares
2026-04-08
Josh D Paul
SELL
1100 shares
2026-04-01
Dipak Golechha
SELL
5000 shares
2026-04-01
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