What is the fair value of PANW stock?

Our analysis estimates the fair value range for PANW to be between $360.46 and $403.05. The current price is $380.55.

What is the analyst price target for PANW?

The average Wall Street analyst price target for PANW is $398.52. This implies a potential upside of 4.7% from current levels.

Palo Alto Networks (PANW) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

PANW - Palo Alto Networks, Inc. Common Stock

COMPUTER PERIPHERAL EQUIPMENT, NEC

$380.55

25.63 (7.22%) ▲

5d: +11.27%

30d: -2.4%

90d: +19.93%

WAIT

LOW Confidence

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Analysis Updated: Oct 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET

Earnings: Nov 18, 2026 24d

Smart Money Accumulation

Options open interest is building while the stock consolidates - a pattern consistent with institutional accumulation. View Scanner →

Signal fired Oct 14, 2026 at $375.04 · last confirmed Oct 20, 2026

Strength: 10.0/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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Bottom Line:
ℹ️ NEUTRAL: PANW is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 15.2% expected growth, valuation appears stretched. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.

See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

Adjust Growth Assumption: -41.5%

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)

EST. PRICE IN 2031

$17.68

Based on -18.8% avg growth

INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY

$10.98

Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

View Full DCF Model

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: PANW is currently trading at $380.55, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $360.46 to $403.05. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 172.2) compared to its historical average (112.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 15.2% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, PANW is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $334.75, while resistance sits at $421.48. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 7.2% recently.

Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 40/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position FAIR

Historical Trading Range $360.46 - $403.05

Company Quality Score 45/100 (HOLD)

Volume Confirmation HIGH

Confidence Score 71.4%

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All Signals

NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
BULLISH: High volume confirmation
BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+7.2%)
NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($398.52)
NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 15.2% growth which is achievable
WARNING: Composite score 45/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $360.46 - $403.05

Current vs Trading Range FAIR

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $334.75

Resistance Level $421.48

Current Trend Strong Uptrend

Technical data as of Oct 23, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 172.15

Wall Street Target $398.52 (+4.7%)

Revenue Growth (YoY) 34.5%

Earnings Growth (YoY) 60.5%

Profit Margin 2.7%

Valuation Premium vs History +15.2% premium

PE vs Historical 172.2 vs 112.5 STRETCHED

Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists

Implied Growth (YoY): +15.2% (market-implied from PE analysis)

1-Year Target $438.39 (+15%)

2-Year Target $505.03 (+33%)

3-Year Target $581.79 (+53%)

3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 172→113) PE COMPRESSION $380.21 (0%)

Earnings growth offset by PE compression

3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth

Bull: (PE: 172.1, Growth: -41.5%) $277.42 (+-27%)

Base: (SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: -41.5%) $32.00 (-92%)

Bear: (PE: 16.9, Growth: -41.5%) $27.20 (-93%)

📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings

Forward PE: 94.34 | Forward EPS (Implied): $4.03

Bull Case $459.51 (+21%)

Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 99.1

Base Case $380.55 (0%)

Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 94.3

Bear Case $291.12 (-24%)

Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 84.9

These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.

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Last updated: October 24, 2026 5:53 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:53 AM

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Advanced PANW Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's PANW price and gamma walls.

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