Is PANW stock a Buy, Sell, or Hold?

Based on our analysis, PANW is currently a WAIT with low confidence. 📊 MIXED SIGNALS: PANW shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.

What is the fair value of PANW stock?

Our analysis estimates the fair value range for PANW to be between $342.36 and $389.26. The current price is $403.24.

What is the analyst price target for PANW?

The average Wall Street analyst price target for PANW is $396.12. This implies a potential upside of -1.8% from current levels.

Palo Alto Networks (PANW) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

PANW - Palo Alto Networks, Inc. Common Stock

COMPUTER PERIPHERAL EQUIPMENT, NEC

$403.24

6.99 (1.76%) ▲

5d: +7.61%

30d: +22.76%

90d: +12.78%

WAIT

LOW Confidence

Protect Your PANW Gains

Analysis Updated: Oct 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET

Earnings: Nov 18, 2026

Smart Money Distribution

Options positioning is turning defensive after a sharp run-up - a pattern consistent with institutional profit-taking. View Scanner →

Signal fired Oct 1, 2026 at $389.74 · last confirmed Oct 2, 2026

Strength: 8.5/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: PANW shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.

See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

Adjust Growth Assumption: -41.5%

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)

EST. PRICE IN 2031

$17.68

Based on -18.8% avg growth

INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY

$10.98

Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

View Full DCF Model

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: PANW is currently trading at $403.24, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $342.36 to $389.26. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 182.4) compared to its historical average (107.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 19.1% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, PANW is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $409.50. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.

Market Sentiment: PANW scores 5/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED

Historical Trading Range $342.36 - $389.26

Company Quality Score 30/100 (SELL)

Volume Confirmation HIGH

Confidence Score 22.9%

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All Signals

BEARISH: Price extended above range
BEARISH: Weak technical setup (5/100)
BULLISH: High volume confirmation
NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($396.12)
NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 19.1% growth which is achievable
WARNING: Composite score 30/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $342.36 - $389.26

Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $357.59

Resistance Level $409.50

Current Trend Strong Uptrend

Technical data as of Oct 2, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 182.41

Wall Street Target $396.12 (-1.8%)

Revenue Growth (YoY) 34.5%

Earnings Growth (YoY) 60.5%

Profit Margin 2.7%

Valuation Premium vs History +19.1% premium

PE vs Historical 182.4 vs 107.9 STRETCHED

Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists

Implied Growth (YoY): +19.1% (market-implied from PE analysis)

1-Year Target $480.26 (+19%)

2-Year Target $571.99 (+42%)

3-Year Target $681.24 (+69%)

3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 182→108) PE COMPRESSION $402.96 (0%)

Earnings growth offset by PE compression

3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth

Bull: (PE: 182.4, Growth: -41.5%) $293.96 (+-27%)

Base: (SPY PE: 20.4, Growth: -41.5%) $32.88 (-92%)

Bear: (PE: 17.3, Growth: -41.5%) $27.94 (-93%)

📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings

Forward PE: 94.34 | Forward EPS (Implied): $4.27

Bull Case $486.91 (+21%)

Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 99.1

Base Case $403.24 (0%)

Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 94.3

Bear Case $308.48 (-24%)

Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 84.9

These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.

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Last updated: October 04, 2026 2:22 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:22 AM

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Insider Activity (6 Months)

Buys

Sells

Net

INSIDERS SELLING

Recent Transactions

John P Key SELL 1572 shares 2026-04-08

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Advanced PANW Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's PANW price and gamma walls.

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