PANW Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
PANW - Palo Alto Networks, Inc. Common Stock
$286.40
-1.38 (-0.48%)
▼
5d:
+2.42%
30d:
+16.11%
90d:
+75.76%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jun 02, 2026
0d
Smart Money Distribution
None View Scanner →
Strength: 9.0/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: PANW trades at premium valuation expecting 22.1% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
📊 HOLD: PANW trades at premium valuation expecting 22.1% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$12.60
Based on -21.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$7.82
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: PANW is currently trading at $286.40, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $250.48 to $285.90. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 144.7) compared to its historical average (79.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in 22.1% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PANW is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $251.15, while resistance sits at $295.75.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PANW is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $251.15, while resistance sits at $295.75.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$250.48 -
$285.90
Company Quality Score
50/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
45.2%
Protect Your Profits
Holding PANW? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($310.32)
- NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 22.1% growth which is achievable
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$250.48 -
$285.90
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$251.15
Resistance Level
$295.75
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 22, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
144.67
Wall Street Target
$310.32
(+8.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
31.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
60.5%
Profit Margin
8.0%
Valuation Premium vs History
+22.1% premium
PE vs Historical
144.7 vs 79.6
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+22.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$349.69
(+22%)
2-Year Target
$426.98
(+49%)
3-Year Target
$521.34
(+82%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 145→80)
PE COMPRESSION
$286.85
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 144.7, Growth: -47.5%)
$208.79
(+-27%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: -47.5%)
$31.43
(-89%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.5, Growth: -47.5%)
$26.72
(-91%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Forward PE: 70.42 | Forward EPS (Implied): $4.07
Bull Case
$345.83
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 73.9
Base Case
$286.40
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 70.4
Bear Case
$219.10
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 63.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 23, 2026 4:42 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:42 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:42 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is PANW showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
8
Buys
11
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
John P Key
SELL
1572 shares
2026-04-08
Josh D Paul
SELL
1100 shares
2026-04-01
Dipak Golechha
SELL
5000 shares
2026-04-01
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Advanced PANW Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's PANW price and gamma walls.
