PATH Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
PATH - UiPath, Inc.
$10.27
0.04 (0.39%)
▲
5d:
-3.57%
30d:
-2.65%
90d:
-16.09%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 18, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 28, 2026
0d
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 10.0/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: PATH appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -8.8% annual earnings decline despite 106% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: PATH appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -8.8% annual earnings decline despite 106% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$20.44
Based on 8.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$12.69
19.1% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 17.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: PATH is currently trading at $10.27, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $10.14 to $11.62. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 13.5) compared to its historical average (17.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 8.8% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 105.7% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PATH is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $10.30. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $13.31 (+29.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PATH is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $10.30. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $13.31 (+29.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$10.14 -
$11.62
Company Quality Score
50/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 29.6% below Wall St target ($13.31)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$10.14 -
$11.62
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$10.30
Resistance Level
$13.20
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
13.46
Wall Street Target
$13.31
(+29.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
17.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
105.7%
Profit Margin
19.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-8.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
13.5 vs 17.7
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-8.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$9.37
(-9%)
2-Year Target
$8.54
(-17%)
3-Year Target
$7.79
(-24%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 13→18)
$10.24
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 13.4%)
$24.25
(+136%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 13.5, Growth: 13.4%)
$14.99
(+46%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.4, Growth: 13.4%)
$12.74
(+24%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (17x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (13x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 17.05 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.60
Bull Case
$14.31
(+39%)
Analyst growth 27.1%, PE expands to 18.8
Base Case
$13.01
(+27%)
Market implied 27.1%, PE stable at 17.1
Bear Case
$6.96
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 14.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 13.5 to 17.7
Stabilization Target:
$13.50
(+31.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+31.5%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 21, 2026 4:28 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:28 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:28 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is PATH showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
13
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Daniel Dines
SELL
45000 shares
2026-01-26
Daniel Dines
SELL
45000 shares
2026-01-22
Daniel Dines
SELL
45000 shares
2026-01-14
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Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's PATH price and gamma walls.
