UiPath (PATH) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
PATH - UiPath, Inc.
$14.08
0.13 (0.97%)
▲
5d:
+9.53%
30d:
+11.71%
90d:
+21.13%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Dec 02, 2026
Smart Money Distribution
Options positioning is turning defensive after a sharp run-up - a pattern consistent with institutional profit-taking. View Scanner →
Signal fired Oct 15, 2026 at $13.71 · last confirmed Oct 23, 2026
Strength: 7.1/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: PATH shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.2% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: PATH shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.2% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$20.44
Based on 8.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$12.69
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 17.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: PATH is currently trading at $14.07, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $12.76 to $13.82. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 18.3) is in line with its historical norms (17.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.2% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PATH is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $14.10. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: PATH scores 63/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $15.50 (+11.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PATH is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $14.10. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: PATH scores 63/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $15.50 (+11.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$12.76 -
$13.82
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
60.5%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (63/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($15.50)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 1.2% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 63/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$12.76 -
$13.82
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$12.73
Resistance Level
$14.10
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 23, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
18.27
Wall Street Target
$15.50
(+11.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
13.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
2280.8%
Profit Margin
21.0%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.2% premium
PE vs Historical
18.3 vs 17.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$14.11
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$14.28
(+2%)
3-Year Target
$14.45
(+4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 18→18)
PE COMPRESSION
$13.99
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 13.4%)
$22.11
(+59%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 18.3, Growth: 13.4%)
$20.34
(+46%)
Bear:
(PE: 15.5, Growth: 13.4%)
$17.29
(+24%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (20x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (18x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 20.46 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.67
Bull Case
$17.17
(+23%)
Analyst growth 13.9%, PE expands to 22.5
Base Case
$15.61
(+12%)
Market implied 13.9%, PE stable at 20.5
Bear Case
$9.32
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 17.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 23, 2026 3:28 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:28 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:28 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is PATH showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced PATH Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's PATH price and gamma walls.
