Is PATH stock a Buy, Sell, or Hold?

Based on our analysis, PATH is currently a WAIT with low confidence. 📊 MIXED SIGNALS: PATH shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.

What is the fair value of PATH stock?

Our analysis estimates the fair value range for PATH to be between $11.62 and $15.47. The current price is $16.39.

What is the analyst price target for PATH?

The average Wall Street analyst price target for PATH is $13.44. This implies a potential upside of -15.6% from current levels.

PATH Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

PATH - UiPath, Inc.

SERVICES-PREPACKAGED SOFTWARE

$16.39

0.47 (2.95%) ▲

5d: +2.37%

30d: +60.69%

90d: +55.06%

WAIT

LOW Confidence

Protect Your PATH Gains

Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET

Earnings: Sep 03, 2026 10d

Smart Money Distribution

Options positioning is turning defensive after a sharp run-up - a pattern consistent with institutional profit-taking. View Scanner →

Signal fired Aug 7, 2026 at $15.05 · last confirmed Aug 17, 2026

Strength: 8.0/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡

Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: PATH shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.

See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

Adjust Growth Assumption: 13.4%

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)

EST. PRICE IN 2031

$20.10

Based on 8.7% avg growth

INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY

$12.48

Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 17.4x Exit PE.

View Full DCF Model

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: PATH is currently trading at $16.39, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $11.62 to $15.47. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 20.9) compared to its historical average (17.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 6.2% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, PATH is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $16.82. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.

Market Sentiment: PATH scores 0/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $13.44. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED

Historical Trading Range $11.62 - $15.47

Company Quality Score 28/100 (SELL)

Volume Confirmation HIGH

Confidence Score 14.3%

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All Signals

BEARISH: Price extended above range (+5.9% above its trading range)
BEARISH: Weak technical setup (0/100)
BULLISH: High volume confirmation
BEARISH: Trading 15.6% above Wall St target ($13.44)
NEUTRAL: PE elevated vs history but 6.2% growth expectation is conservative given 106% recent growth
WARNING: Composite score 28/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $11.62 - $15.47

Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $14.73

Resistance Level $16.82

Current Trend Strong Downtrend

Technical data as of Aug 21, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 20.87

Wall Street Target $13.44 (-15.6%)

Revenue Growth (YoY) 17.3%

Earnings Growth (YoY) 105.7%

Profit Margin 19.6%

Valuation Premium vs History +6.2% premium

PE vs Historical 20.9 vs 17.4 STRETCHED

Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists

Implied Growth (YoY): +6.2% (market-implied from PE analysis)

1-Year Target $16.91 (+6%)

2-Year Target $17.96 (+13%)

3-Year Target $19.07 (+20%)

3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 21→17) PE COMPRESSION $15.90 (0%)

Earnings growth offset by PE compression

3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth

Bull: (PE: 20.9, Growth: 13.4%) $23.23 (+46%)

Base: (SPY PE: 20.1, Growth: 13.4%) $22.34 (+40%)

Bear: (PE: 17.1, Growth: 13.4%) $18.99 (+19%)

📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings

RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (26x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (21x PE) as earnings recover.

Trailing PE: 25.87 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.61

Bull Case $21.71 (+32%)

Analyst growth 25.0%, PE expands to 28.5

Base Case $19.73 (+20%)

Market implied 25.0%, PE stable at 25.9

Bear Case $10.73 (-35%)

Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 22.0

These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.

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Last updated: August 23, 2026 6:25 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:25 PM

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Insider Activity (6 Months)

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Advanced PATH Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's PATH price and gamma walls.

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