RCEL Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

RCEL - Avita Medical, Inc. Common Stock

SURGICAL & MEDICAL INSTRUMENTS & APPARATUS
$4.00
0.08 (1.91%) ▲
5d: +1.91%
30d: -12.77%
90d: +4.04%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 06, 2026

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: RCEL shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: RCEL is currently trading at $4.00, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $3.98 to $4.35. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: -3.4) compared to its historical average (8.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, RCEL is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $3.95. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: RCEL has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Implied Volatility is high (100th percentile), indicating expensive options premiums. This environment often favors selling options or covered calls to generate income. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $7.04 (+79.6%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range $3.98 - $4.35
Company Quality Score 49/100 (HOLD)
Options IV Signal 100th percentile (EVENT RISK)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 50.0%

All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • BEARISH: Options expensive (IV 100th percentile)
  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 79.6% below Wall St target ($7.04)
  • BULLISH: Market expects only 0% annual growth - appears undervalued

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $3.98 - $4.35
Current vs Trading Range SLIGHTLY LOW
Expected Move (7 Days) ±$1.15 (28.7%)

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $3.95
Resistance Level $4.55
Current Trend Sideways
Technical data as of Jun 9, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) -3.43
Wall Street Target $7.04 (+79.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 4.0%
Profit Margin -62.7%
PE vs Historical -3.4 vs 8.0 CHEAP
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Last updated: June 24, 2026 11:25 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:25 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Technical Signals Check
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
David D O'toole BUY 3000 shares 2026-02-19

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