Avita Medical (RCEL) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

RCEL - Avita Medical, Inc. Common Stock

SURGICAL & MEDICAL INSTRUMENTS & APPARATUS
$11.67
-0.17 (-1.44%) ▼
5d: +7.66%
30d: +13.08%
90d: +174.59%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 28, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 05, 2026

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: RCEL shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: RCEL is currently trading at $11.67, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $10.06 to $11.22. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: -19.5) compared to its historical average (8.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, RCEL is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $9.90, while resistance sits at $12.23.

Market Sentiment: RCEL scores 10/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range $10.06 - $11.22
Company Quality Score 38/100 (SELL)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 42.3%

All Signals

  • BEARISH: Price extended above range
  • BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 0th percentile)
  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (10/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($12.15)
  • BULLISH: Market expects only 0% annual growth - appears undervalued
  • WARNING: Composite score 38/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $10.06 - $11.22
Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED
Expected Move (7 Days) ±$1.45 (12.4%)

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $9.90
Resistance Level $12.23
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of Sep 28, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) -19.50
Wall Street Target $12.15 (+4.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 17.8%
Profit Margin -57.0%
PE vs Historical -19.5 vs 8.0 CHEAP
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Last updated: September 29, 2026 7:44 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:44 AM
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Insider Activity (6 Months)
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Buys
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Sells
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Net
NEUTRAL

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