RHP Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
RHP - Ryman Hospitality Properties, Inc
$124.23
-0.93 (-0.74%)
▼
5d:
+1.44%
30d:
+10.52%
90d:
+35.21%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 06, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: RHP trades at premium valuation expecting 5.0% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
📊 HOLD: RHP trades at premium valuation expecting 5.0% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$171.79
Based on 9.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$106.67
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 21.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: RHP is currently trading at $124.23, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $111.63 to $122.46. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 25.3) compared to its historical average (21.8). At these levels, the market is pricing in 5.0% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, RHP is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $121.37. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: RHP has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, RHP is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $121.37. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: RHP has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$111.63 -
$122.46
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
56.2%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($124.00)
- NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 5.0% growth which is achievable
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$111.63 -
$122.46
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$112.74
Resistance Level
$121.37
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
25.26
Wall Street Target
$124.00
(-0.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
13.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
3.5%
Profit Margin
9.5%
Valuation Premium vs History
+5.0% premium
PE vs Historical
25.3 vs 21.8
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+5.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$131.42
(+5%)
2-Year Target
$137.99
(+10%)
3-Year Target
$144.89
(+16%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 25→22)
PE COMPRESSION
$125.05
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 25.3, Growth: 15.6%)
$193.53
(+55%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: 15.6%)
$166.87
(+33%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.5, Growth: 15.6%)
$141.84
(+13%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (33x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (25x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 32.93 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.80
Bull Case
$179.51
(+43%)
Analyst growth 30.4%, PE expands to 36.2
Base Case
$163.19
(+30%)
Market implied 30.4%, PE stable at 32.9
Bear Case
$85.10
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 28.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 23, 2026 2:49 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:49 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:49 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is RHP showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
NEUTRAL
Recent Transactions
Gilbert Ray Cisneros, Jr.
BUY
2026-03-03
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