DiamondRock Hospitality (DRH) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
DRH - DiamondRock Hospitality Company
$13.94
0.15 (1.05%)
▲
5d:
+8.19%
30d:
+13.2%
90d:
+9.98%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 03, 2026
11d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: DRH shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: DRH shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$8.38
Based on -7.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$5.20
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 20.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: DRH is currently trading at $13.94, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $12.19 to $13.15. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 22.1) is in line with its historical norms (20.2). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.1% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DRH is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $14.05. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: DRH scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DRH is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $14.05. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: DRH scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$12.19 -
$13.15
Company Quality Score
38/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
20.0%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range (+6.0% above its trading range)
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (15/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($14.04)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 3.1% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 38/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$12.19 -
$13.15
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$12.24
Resistance Level
$14.05
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
22.12
Wall Street Target
$14.04
(+0.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
4.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
144.4%
Profit Margin
13.5%
Valuation Premium vs History
+3.1% premium
PE vs Historical
22.1 vs 20.2
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+3.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$14.37
(+3%)
2-Year Target
$14.81
(+6%)
3-Year Target
$15.27
(+10%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 22→20)
PE COMPRESSION
$13.95
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.1, Growth: -19.3%)
$10.16
(+-27%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: -19.3%)
$9.12
(-35%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.9, Growth: -19.3%)
$7.75
(-44%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 18.64 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.74
Bull Case
$12.91
(-7%)
Analyst growth -14.9%, PE expands to 20.5
Base Case
$11.74
(-16%)
Market implied -14.9%, PE stable at 18.6
Bear Case
$9.38
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 15.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 22, 2026 9:13 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:13 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:13 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is DRH showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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