DiamondRock Hospitality (DRH) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$14.73
+0.03 (+0.17%)
▲
5d:
+0.65%
30d:
+11.89%
90d:
+19.81%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (47%)
Quality Score
44/100
Position
EXTENDED
30-Day Fair Range
$12.93 – $14.45
Position: EXTENDED
Forward P/E & Valuation
22.3x
FAIR
vs 20.3x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$14.69
-0.1% vs target
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$13.88 / $14.72
Trend: Uptrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: DRH shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$9.48
Based on -6.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$5.88
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 20.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: DRH is currently trading at $14.72, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $12.93 to $14.45. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 22.3) is in line with its historical norms (20.3). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.1% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DRH is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $14.72. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 44/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DRH is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $14.72. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 44/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$12.93 -
$14.45
Company Quality Score
44/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
47.1%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$12.93 -
$14.45
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support Level
$13.88
Resistance Level
$14.72
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Nov 10, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (44/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($14.69)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 3.1% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 44/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
22.27
Wall Street Target
$14.69
(-0.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
4.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
63.7%
Profit Margin
14.3%
Valuation Premium vs History
+3.1% premium
PE vs Historical
22.3 vs 20.3
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+3.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$15.16
(+3%)
2-Year Target
$15.63
(+6%)
3-Year Target
$16.11
(+10%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 22→20)
PE COMPRESSION
$14.68
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: -16.8%)
$10.72
(+-27%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: -16.8%)
$9.56
(-35%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.9, Growth: -16.8%)
$8.12
(-45%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 17.95 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.80
Bull Case
$13.03
(-11%)
Analyst growth -17.5%, PE expands to 19.8
Base Case
$11.85
(-19%)
Market implied -17.5%, PE stable at 18.0
Bear Case
$9.76
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 15.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (DRH)
Bullish
3 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
2
Bullish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
May 3, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
A bullish sentiment is dominating $DRH on StockTwits, with one user expressing confidence in the company's expected large-scale dividend payments in Q4.
Key Retail Themes:
dividend expectations
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 11, 2026 12:57 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:57 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:57 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is DRH showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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