Host Hotels & Resorts (HST) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

HST - Host Hotels & Resorts, Inc.

REAL ESTATE INVESTMENT TRUSTS
$25.09
0.29 (1.17%) ▲
5d: +9.42%
30d: +12.61%
90d: +4.72%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
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Analysis Updated: Oct 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 04, 2026 12d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: HST shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$13.07
Based on -9.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$8.12
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 21.7x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: HST is currently trading at $25.09, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $21.91 to $23.59. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 24.0) compared to its historical average (21.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.3% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, HST is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $25.27. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.

Market Sentiment: HST scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range $21.91 - $23.59
Company Quality Score 35/100 (SELL)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 20.0%

Protect Your Profits

HST is technically overbought (RSI 79). Consider hedging now to protect against a potential pullback while keeping your upside.

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All Signals

  • BEARISH: Price extended above range (+6.4% above its trading range)
  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (15/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($25.64)
  • NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 3.3% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
  • WARNING: Composite score 35/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $21.91 - $23.59
Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $22.12
Resistance Level $25.27
Current Trend Downtrend
Technical data as of Oct 21, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 24.00
Wall Street Target $25.64 (+2.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 3.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 8.4%
Profit Margin 16.5%
Valuation Premium vs History +3.3% premium
PE vs Historical 24.0 vs 21.7 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +3.3% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $25.92 (+3%)
2-Year Target $26.77 (+7%)
3-Year Target $27.66 (+10%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 24→22) PE COMPRESSION $25.01 (0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 24.0, Growth: -23.8%) $18.29 (+-27%)
Base: (SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: -23.8%) $15.14 (-40%)
Bear: (PE: 16.9, Growth: -23.8%) $12.87 (-49%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 16.76 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.48
Bull Case $19.27 (-23%)
Analyst growth -29.4%, PE expands to 18.4
Base Case $17.52 (-30%)
Market implied -29.4%, PE stable at 16.8
Bear Case $16.86 (-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 14.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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Last updated: October 22, 2026 8:21 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:21 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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