RL Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
RL - Ralph Lauren Corporation
$405.62
-5.30 (-1.29%)
▼
5d:
-1.63%
30d:
+8.19%
90d:
+19.61%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 06, 2026
Get Alerted When RL Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: RL shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.3% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: RL shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.3% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$546.25
Based on 7.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$339.18
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 21.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: RL is currently trading at $405.62, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $348.44 to $402.38. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 22.8) is in line with its historical norms (21.3). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.3% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, RL is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $393.42. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: RL has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, RL is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $393.42. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: RL has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$348.44 -
$402.38
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
66.2%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 0th percentile)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($428.00)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 2.3% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$348.44 -
$402.38
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$14.40
(3.6%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$355.00
Resistance Level
$393.42
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
22.76
Wall Street Target
$428.00
(+4.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
16.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
20.0%
Profit Margin
11.6%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.3% premium
PE vs Historical
22.8 vs 21.3
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$420.37
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$430.04
(+5%)
3-Year Target
$439.93
(+7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 23→21)
PE COMPRESSION
$411.65
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.8, Growth: 10.6%)
$555.46
(+35%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: 10.6%)
$531.47
(+29%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.5, Growth: 10.6%)
$451.75
(+10%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (27x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (23x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 27.32 | Current EPS (TTM): $15.12
Bull Case
$542.41
(+32%)
Analyst growth 19.4%, PE expands to 30.1
Base Case
$493.10
(+20%)
Market implied 19.4%, PE stable at 27.3
Bear Case
$280.85
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 23.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 23, 2026 3:26 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:26 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:26 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is RL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Patrice Louvet
SELL
47000 shares
2026-02-10
Top Rated Apparel Manufacturing Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Apparel Manufacturing by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
GIL
Gildan Activewear Inc. |
STRONG BUY
14 analysts |
$82 | 55 HOLD |
|
UAA
Under Armour Inc A |
SELL
26 analysts |
$6 | 57 HOLD |
|
VFC
VF Corporation |
HOLD
23 analysts |
$20 | 54 HOLD |
|
LEVI
Levi Strauss & Co Class A |
STRONG BUY
13 analysts |
$27 | 61 BUY |
|
PVH
PVH Corp |
HOLD
13 analysts |
$93 | 50 HOLD |
Advanced RL Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's RL price and gamma walls.
