RL
Ralph Lauren Corporation
MEN'S & BOYS' FURNISHGS, WORK CLOTHG, & ALLIED GARMENTS
Ralph Lauren (RL) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$390.80
-3.25 (-0.82%)
âŧ
5d:
+2.36%
30d:
+4.14%
90d:
+0.48%
Open in Live Scanner
70/30 Portfolio Builder
Earnings: Nov 05, 2026
0d
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Updated Nov 12, 12:00 AM ET
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (53%)
Quality Score
44/100
Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
30-Day Fair Range
$372.14 â $396.10
Position: SLIGHTLY HIGH
Forward P/E & Valuation
21.7x
FAIR
vs 21.1x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$447.65
+14.5% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$372.27 / $413.60
Trend: Sideways
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: RL is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 0.9% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Smart Money Distribution
Options positioning is turning defensive after a sharp run-up - a pattern consistent with institutional profit-taking. View Scanner →
Signal fired Nov 5, 2026 at $381.78 · last confirmed Nov 9, 2026
Strength: 5.5/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$541.12
Based on 7.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$335.99
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 21.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: RL is currently trading at $390.80, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $372.14 to $396.10. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 21.6) is in line with its historical norms (21.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.9% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, RL is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $372.26, while resistance sits at $413.60.
Market Sentiment: RL scores 35/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $447.65 (+14.5%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, RL is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $372.26, while resistance sits at $413.60.
Market Sentiment: RL scores 35/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $447.65 (+14.5%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$372.14 -
$396.10
Company Quality Score
44/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
52.7%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$372.14 -
$396.10
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Expected Move (7 Days)
Âą$19.89
(5.1%)
Support Level
$372.27
Resistance Level
$413.60
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Nov 12, 2026
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View Profit Protection PlanQuantitative Signal Breakdown
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 0th percentile)
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (35/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($447.65)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.9% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 44/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
21.65
Wall Street Target
$447.65
(+14.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
9.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
46.7%
Profit Margin
12.6%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.9% premium
PE vs Historical
21.7 vs 21.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$394.32
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$397.87
(+2%)
3-Year Target
$401.45
(+3%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 22â21)
PE COMPRESSION
$391.27
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.6, Growth: 10.6%)
$528.26
(+35%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: 10.6%)
$484.62
(+24%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.9, Growth: 10.6%)
$411.93
(+5%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (23x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (22x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 22.94 | Current EPS (TTM): $17.42
Bull Case
$455.52
(+16%)
Analyst growth 3.6%, PE expands to 25.2
Base Case
$414.11
(+5%)
Market implied 3.6%, PE stable at 22.9
Bear Case
$271.73
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 19.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (RL)
Bullish
2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bearish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Nov 6, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
Ralph Lauren (RL) stock rose 1.41% in the latest close session, but lagged behind the S&P 500 and the tech-heavy Nasdaq. The stock has fallen 10.06% in the past month. Analysts will be closely watching the company's upcoming earnings report, with projected EPS of $4.21 and revenue of $2.13 billion.
Key Retail Themes:
stock performance
upcoming earnings report
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 12, 2026 4:53 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:53 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:53 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is RL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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