RMR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

RMR - The RMR Group Inc. Class A Common Stock

SERVICES-MANAGEMENT CONSULTING SERVICES
$19.04
-0.42 (-2.16%) ▼
5d: -4.9%
30d: -7.3%
90d: +6.91%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026 1d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: RMR trades at premium valuation expecting 4.7% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$28.96
Based on 12.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$17.98
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 21.2x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: RMR is currently trading at $19.04, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $19.77 to $20.71. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 24.4) compared to its historical average (21.2). At these levels, the market is pricing in 4.7% annual earnings growth.

Technical Outlook: Technically, RMR is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $18.96. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: RMR has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range $19.77 - $20.71
Company Quality Score 50/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 55.7%

All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($20.75)
  • BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 4.7% growth with -0.9% revenue growth

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $19.77 - $20.71
Current vs Trading Range OVERSOLD

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $18.96
Resistance Level $20.50
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of Jul 31, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 24.41
Wall Street Target $20.75 (+9.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) -0.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -76.2%
Profit Margin 9.5%
Valuation Premium vs History +4.7% premium
PE vs Historical 24.4 vs 21.2 STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +4.7% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $19.93 (+5%)
2-Year Target $20.87 (+10%)
3-Year Target $21.85 (+15%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 24→21) PE COMPRESSION $18.98 (0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 24.4, Growth: 20.0%) $32.90 (+73%)
Base: (SPY PE: 20.7, Growth: 20.0%) $27.94 (+47%)
Bear: (PE: 17.6, Growth: 20.0%) $23.75 (+25%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 16.08 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.21
Bull Case $13.80 (-28%)
Analyst growth -35.5%, PE expands to 17.7
Base Case $12.54 (-34%)
Market implied -35.5%, PE stable at 16.1
Bear Case $13.23 (-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 13.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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Last updated: August 03, 2026 2:50 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:50 AM
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Insider Activity (6 Months)
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NEUTRAL

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