RYAM Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
RYAM - Rayonier Advanced Materials Inc.
$9.09
0.53 (6.19%)
▲
5d:
+13.77%
30d:
-2.15%
90d:
-20.61%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 12, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 04, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: RYAM trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -16.7% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: RYAM trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -16.7% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$20.77
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$12.90
29.5% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: RYAM is currently trading at $9.09, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $8.34 to $9.23. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 7.8) compared to its historical average (13.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 16.7% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, RYAM is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $9.34. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 6.2% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (27th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $14.50 (+69.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, RYAM is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $9.34. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 6.2% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (27th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $14.50 (+69.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$8.34 -
$9.23
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
27th percentile
(LOW)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
75.8%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 27th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+6.2%)
- BULLISH: Trading 69.4% below Wall St target ($14.50)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$8.34 -
$9.23
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$1.26
(13.8%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$7.82
Resistance Level
$9.34
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
7.85
Wall Street Target
$14.50
(+69.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-9.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-70.4%
Profit Margin
-32.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-16.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
7.9 vs 13.6
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-16.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$7.70
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$6.93
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$6.24
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 8→14)
$10.81
(+26%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 7.9 to 13.6
Stabilization Target:
$14.82
(+73.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+73.2%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 15, 2026 9:53 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:53 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:53 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is RYAM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced RYAM Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's RYAM price and gamma walls.
