SSD Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SSD - Simpson Manufacturing Co., Inc.
$193.07
-0.62 (-0.32%)
▼
5d:
+4.13%
30d:
+4.7%
90d:
+8.49%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 12, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 27, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: SSD shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.8% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: SSD shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.8% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$258.87
Based on 6.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$160.74
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 19.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SSD is currently trading at $193.07, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $183.06 to $191.05. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 19.6) is in line with its historical norms (19.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.8% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SSD is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $194.51. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: SSD has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $217.80 (+12.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SSD is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $194.51. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: SSD has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $217.80 (+12.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$183.06 -
$191.05
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
60.5%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($217.80)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.8% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$183.06 -
$191.05
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$182.86
Resistance Level
$194.51
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
19.59
Wall Street Target
$217.80
(+12.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
9.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
15.1%
Profit Margin
14.9%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.8% premium
PE vs Historical
19.6 vs 19.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$194.61
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$196.17
(+2%)
3-Year Target
$197.74
(+2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 20→19)
PE COMPRESSION
$192.75
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.9, Growth: 9.2%)
$281.24
(+46%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.6, Growth: 9.2%)
$251.40
(+30%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.7, Growth: 9.2%)
$213.69
(+11%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (23x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (20x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 22.71 | Current EPS (TTM): $8.53
Bull Case
$246.11
(+28%)
Analyst growth 15.5%, PE expands to 25.0
Base Case
$223.74
(+16%)
Market implied 15.5%, PE stable at 22.7
Bear Case
$131.71
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 19.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 15, 2026 4:47 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:47 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:47 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SSD showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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