SSD Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SSD - Simpson Manufacturing Co., Inc.
$192.17
4.43 (2.36%)
▲
5d:
-0.55%
30d:
-4.26%
90d:
+0.06%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 26, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: SSD is fairly valued with market pricing in 0.9% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: SSD is fairly valued with market pricing in 0.9% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$246.02
Based on 5.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$152.76
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 19.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SSD is currently trading at $192.17, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $185.84 to $201.77. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 19.8) is in line with its historical norms (19.3). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.9% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SSD is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $182.87, while resistance sits at $209.32.
Market Sentiment: SSD has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $218.80 (+13.9%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SSD is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $182.87, while resistance sits at $209.32.
Market Sentiment: SSD has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $218.80 (+13.9%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$185.84 -
$201.77
Company Quality Score
53/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
48.6%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($218.80)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.9% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$185.84 -
$201.77
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$182.87
Resistance Level
$209.32
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 3, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
19.79
Wall Street Target
$218.80
(+13.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
6.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
25.1%
Profit Margin
15.7%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.9% premium
PE vs Historical
19.8 vs 19.3
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$193.90
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$195.64
(+2%)
3-Year Target
$197.41
(+3%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 20→19)
PE COMPRESSION
$192.51
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.7, Growth: 7.2%)
$248.00
(+29%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.8, Growth: 7.2%)
$236.77
(+23%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.8, Growth: 7.2%)
$201.25
(+5%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (21x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (20x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 20.59 | Current EPS (TTM): $9.12
Bull Case
$219.87
(+14%)
Analyst growth 6.5%, PE expands to 22.6
Base Case
$199.89
(+4%)
Market implied 6.5%, PE stable at 20.6
Bear Case
$127.66
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 17.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 03, 2026 9:10 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:10 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:10 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SSD showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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