Boise Cascade (BCC) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BCC - Boise Cascade Company
$75.23
0.53 (0.71%)
â˛
5d:
-2.48%
30d:
-1.42%
90d:
-0.07%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 02, 2026
30d
Get Alerted When BCC Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: BCC is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -3.1% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: BCC is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -3.1% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$159.62
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$99.11
24.1% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 15.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BCC is currently trading at $75.23, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $74.97 to $78.86. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 14.1) is in line with its historical norms (15.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.1% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BCC is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $72.80, while resistance sits at $79.31.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 50/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $96.50 (+29.2%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BCC is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $72.80, while resistance sits at $79.31.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 50/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $96.50 (+29.2%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$74.97 -
$78.86
Company Quality Score
49/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (50/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 29.2% below Wall St target ($96.50)
- WARNING: Composite score 49/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$74.97 -
$78.86
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$72.80
Resistance Level
$79.31
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
14.13
Wall Street Target
$96.50
(+29.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
5.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-0.7%
Profit Margin
1.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-3.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
14.1 vs 15.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-3.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$72.38
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$70.14
(-6%)
3-Year Target
$67.97
(-9%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 14â16)
$74.58
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.4, Growth: 34.6%)
$262.86
(+252%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 14.1, Growth: 34.6%)
$182.01
(+144%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.0, Growth: 34.6%)
$154.71
(+107%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (26x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (14x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 25.75 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.88
Bull Case
$149.77
(+101%)
Analyst growth 83.6%, PE expands to 28.3
Base Case
$136.16
(+82%)
Market implied 83.6%, PE stable at 25.8
Bear Case
$50.42
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 21.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
đĄ
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 14.1 to 15.5
Stabilization Target:
$81.97
(+9.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+9.7%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 02, 2026 2:16 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:16 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:16 PM
đĨ Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is BCC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Top Rated Lumber & Wood Production Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Lumber & Wood Production by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
WFG
West Fraser Timber Co Ltd |
STRONG BUY
7 analysts |
$87 | 34 SELL |