SSD Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SSD - Simpson Manufacturing Co., Inc.
$197.71
-0.57 (-0.29%)
▼
5d:
+2.1%
30d:
+7.04%
90d:
+15.4%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 27, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: SSD shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.5% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: SSD shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.5% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$260.22
Based on 6.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$161.58
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 19.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SSD is currently trading at $197.71, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $184.44 to $194.83. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 20.1) is in line with its historical norms (19.2). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.5% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SSD is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $194.51. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: SSD has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $217.80 (+10.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SSD is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $194.51. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: SSD has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $217.80 (+10.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$184.44 -
$194.83
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
60.5%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($217.80)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 1.5% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$184.44 -
$194.83
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$182.86
Resistance Level
$194.51
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
20.07
Wall Street Target
$217.80
(+10.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
9.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
15.1%
Profit Margin
14.9%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.5% premium
PE vs Historical
20.1 vs 19.2
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$200.68
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$203.69
(+3%)
3-Year Target
$206.74
(+5%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 20→19)
PE COMPRESSION
$197.82
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 9.2%)
$279.44
(+41%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.1, Growth: 9.2%)
$257.44
(+30%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.1, Growth: 9.2%)
$218.82
(+11%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (23x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (20x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 23.25 | Current EPS (TTM): $8.53
Bull Case
$251.94
(+27%)
Analyst growth 15.5%, PE expands to 25.6
Base Case
$229.04
(+16%)
Market implied 15.5%, PE stable at 23.3
Bear Case
$134.83
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 19.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 24, 2026 2:29 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:29 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:29 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SSD showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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