SSD Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SSD - Simpson Manufacturing Co., Inc.
$185.60
-3.20 (-1.69%)
▼
5d:
-6.08%
30d:
-0.33%
90d:
+5.36%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 27, 2026
12d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: SSD shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: SSD shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$261.58
Based on 6.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$162.42
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 19.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SSD is currently trading at $185.60, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $188.08 to $204.18. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 18.8) is in line with its historical norms (19.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.7% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 15.1% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SSD is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $182.85. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $217.80 (+17.3%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SSD is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $182.85. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $217.80 (+17.3%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$188.08 -
$204.18
Company Quality Score
52/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
77.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($217.80)
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -6.1% 5-day decline
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$188.08 -
$204.18
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$182.86
Resistance Level
$194.51
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
18.84
Wall Street Target
$217.80
(+17.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
9.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
15.1%
Profit Margin
14.9%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
18.8 vs 19.3
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$184.30
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$183.01
(-1%)
3-Year Target
$181.73
(-2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 19→19)
$186.20
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 9.2%)
$279.44
(+51%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 18.8, Growth: 9.2%)
$241.67
(+30%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.0, Growth: 9.2%)
$205.42
(+11%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (22x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (19x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 22.19 | Current EPS (TTM): $8.51
Bull Case
$240.46
(+30%)
Analyst growth 15.8%, PE expands to 24.4
Base Case
$218.60
(+18%)
Market implied 15.8%, PE stable at 22.2
Bear Case
$128.38
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 18.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 18.8 to 19.3
Stabilization Target:
$190.17
(+2.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+2.5%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 14, 2026 6:02 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:02 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:02 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SSD showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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