SVCO Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

SVCO - Silvaco Group, Inc. Common Stock

SERVICES-PREPACKAGED SOFTWARE
$11.73
-1.15 (-8.93%) ▼
5d: -2.09%
30d: +20.43%
90d: +69.51%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 24, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: SVCO shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 6.2% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$13.47
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$8.36
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: SVCO is currently trading at $11.73, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $9.88 to $12.59. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 46.5) compared to its historical average (38.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 6.2% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, SVCO is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $9.24, while resistance sits at $14.14. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 8.9% recently.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $15.17 (+17.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position FAIR
Historical Trading Range $9.88 - $12.59
Company Quality Score 49/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 64.3%

All Signals

  • NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BEARISH: Downward momentum (-8.9%)
  • BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($15.17)
  • NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 6.2% growth which is achievable

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $9.88 - $12.59
Current vs Trading Range FAIR

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $9.24
Resistance Level $14.14
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of Jun 9, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 46.55
Wall Street Target $15.17 (+17.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 26.0%
Profit Margin -41.6%
Valuation Premium vs History +6.2% premium
PE vs Historical 46.6 vs 38.9 STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +6.2% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $13.68 (+6%)
2-Year Target $14.53 (+13%)
3-Year Target $15.43 (+20%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 47→39) PE COMPRESSION $12.89 (+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 46.5, Growth: 403.1%) $43.47 (+238%)
Base: (SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: 403.1%) $20.34 (+58%)
Bear: (PE: 18.5, Growth: 403.1%) $17.29 (+34%)
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Last updated: June 24, 2026 3:30 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:30 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Technical Signals Check
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
3
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Christopher John Zegarel… SELL 2431 shares 2026-04-01
Candace Jackson SELL 1817 shares 2026-04-01
Candace Jackson SELL 1500 shares 2026-03-17

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