Silvaco Group (SVCO) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

SVCO - Silvaco Group, Inc. Common Stock

SERVICES-PREPACKAGED SOFTWARE
$6.71
0.20 (3.07%) ▲
5d: +5.17%
30d: -9.32%
90d: -41.5%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 06, 2026 0d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
â„šī¸ NEUTRAL: SVCO is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -4.1% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$9.98
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$6.20
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: SVCO is currently trading at $6.71, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $6.47 to $7.72. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 32.7) compared to its historical average (37.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.1% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, SVCO is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $6.20, while resistance sits at $7.34. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.1% recently.

Market Sentiment: SVCO scores 68/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $15.17 (+126.0%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range $6.47 - $7.72
Company Quality Score 53/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 95.2%

All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (68/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.1%)
  • BULLISH: Trading 126.0% below Wall St target ($15.17)
  • WARNING: Composite score 53/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $6.47 - $7.72
Current vs Trading Range SLIGHTLY LOW

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $6.20
Resistance Level $7.34
Current Trend Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of Sep 11, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 32.73
Wall Street Target $15.17 (+126.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 47.8%
Profit Margin -30.4%
Valuation Discount vs History -4.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical 32.7 vs 37.1 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -4.1% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $6.43 (-4%)
2-Year Target $6.17 (-8%)
3-Year Target $5.92 (-12%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 33→37) $6.71 (0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 32.7, Growth: 296.5%) $22.65 (+238%)
Base: (SPY PE: 20.2, Growth: 296.5%) $13.96 (+108%)
Bear: (PE: 17.1, Growth: 296.5%) $11.86 (+77%)
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 32.7 to 37.1
Stabilization Target: $7.61 (+13.3%)
PE Expansion Potential: +13.3%
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Last updated: September 12, 2026 12:11 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:11 AM
đŸ”Ĩ Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Technical Signals Check
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
3
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Christopher John Zegarelâ€Ļ SELL 2431 shares 2026-04-01
Candace Jackson SELL 1817 shares 2026-04-01
Candace Jackson SELL 1500 shares 2026-03-17

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