SVCO Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SVCO - Silvaco Group, Inc. Common Stock
$11.65
-1.23 (-9.55%)
▼
5d:
-2.75%
30d:
+19.61%
90d:
+68.35%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 24, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: SVCO shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 6.2% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: SVCO shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 6.2% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$13.47
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$8.36
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SVCO is currently trading at $11.65, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $9.88 to $12.59. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 46.5) compared to its historical average (38.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 6.2% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SVCO is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $9.24, while resistance sits at $14.14. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 9.5% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $15.17 (+17.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SVCO is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $9.24, while resistance sits at $14.14. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 9.5% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $15.17 (+17.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$9.88 -
$12.59
Company Quality Score
49/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
64.3%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-9.5%)
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($15.17)
- NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 6.2% growth which is achievable
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$9.88 -
$12.59
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$9.24
Resistance Level
$14.14
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
46.55
Wall Street Target
$15.17
(+17.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
26.0%
Profit Margin
-41.6%
Valuation Premium vs History
+6.2% premium
PE vs Historical
46.6 vs 38.9
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+6.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$13.68
(+6%)
2-Year Target
$14.53
(+13%)
3-Year Target
$15.43
(+20%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 47→39)
PE COMPRESSION
$12.89
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 46.5, Growth: 403.1%)
$43.47
(+238%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: 403.1%)
$20.34
(+58%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.5, Growth: 403.1%)
$17.29
(+34%)
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 24, 2026 2:05 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:05 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:05 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SVCO showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
3
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Christopher John Zegarel…
SELL
2431 shares
2026-04-01
Candace Jackson
SELL
1817 shares
2026-04-01
Candace Jackson
SELL
1500 shares
2026-03-17
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