Silvaco Group (SVCO) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$7.66
+0.21 (+2.82%)
â˛
5d:
+31.62%
30d:
+4.36%
90d:
+3.79%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (43%)
Quality Score
39/100
Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
30-Day Fair Range
$6.11 â $7.83
Position: SLIGHTLY HIGH
Forward P/E & Valuation
35.1x
FAIR
vs 36.8x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$14.00
+82.8% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$5.63 / $7.90
Trend: Downtrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: SVCO is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -1.5% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$10.63
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$6.60
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SVCO is currently trading at $7.66, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $6.11 to $7.83. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 35.1) is in line with its historical norms (36.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.5% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SVCO is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $5.63, while resistance sits at $7.90.
Market Sentiment: SVCO scores 23/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $14.00 (+82.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SVCO is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $5.63, while resistance sits at $7.90.
Market Sentiment: SVCO scores 23/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $14.00 (+82.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$6.11 -
$7.83
Company Quality Score
39/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
42.9%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$6.11 -
$7.83
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support Level
$5.63
Resistance Level
$7.90
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Nov 11, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (23/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 82.8% below Wall St target ($14.00)
- WARNING: Composite score 39/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
35.09
Wall Street Target
$14.00
(+82.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-12.7%
Profit Margin
-30.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
35.1 vs 36.8
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$7.55
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$7.43
(-3%)
3-Year Target
$7.32
(-4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 35â37)
$7.68
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 35.1, Growth: 523.7%)
$25.85
(+238%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: 523.7%)
$14.63
(+91%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.9, Growth: 523.7%)
$12.44
(+62%)
đĄ
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 35.1 to 36.8
Stabilization Target:
$8.03
(+4.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+4.9%
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (SVCO)
Bullish
1 Retail Mentions
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Oct 2, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
Silvaco CEO, Dr. Walden Wally Rhines, was inducted into the National Academy of Engineering for his co-invention of the blue-light-emitting diode and leadership in the semiconductor industry.
Key Retail Themes:
CEO recognition
Industry leadership
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 12, 2026 1:11 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:11 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:11 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SVCO showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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