Silvaco Group (SVCO) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SVCO - Silvaco Group, Inc. Common Stock
$6.68
0.18 (2.77%)
▲
5d:
+1.98%
30d:
-16.92%
90d:
-16.29%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 04, 2026
12d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: SVCO shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: SVCO shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$9.74
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$6.05
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SVCO is currently trading at $6.68, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $6.65 to $8.58. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 33.4) compared to its historical average (37.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.5% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SVCO is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $6.11, while resistance sits at $8.30.
Market Sentiment: SVCO scores 75/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $15.17 (+127.0%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SVCO is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $6.11, while resistance sits at $8.30.
Market Sentiment: SVCO scores 75/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $15.17 (+127.0%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$6.65 -
$8.58
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
90.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 127.0% below Wall St target ($15.17)
- CAUTION: Bottoming setup, but lagging the sector by 12% over 20 days — wait for relative strength
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$6.65 -
$8.58
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$6.11
Resistance Level
$8.30
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
33.40
Wall Street Target
$15.17
(+127.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
47.8%
Profit Margin
-30.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-3.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
33.4 vs 37.2
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-3.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$6.45
(-4%)
2-Year Target
$6.22
(-7%)
3-Year Target
$6.00
(-10%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 33→37)
$6.69
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 33.4, Growth: 275.2%)
$22.55
(+238%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: 275.2%)
$13.41
(+101%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.9, Growth: 275.2%)
$11.39
(+71%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 33.4 to 37.2
Stabilization Target:
$7.44
(+11.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+11.4%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 22, 2026 8:14 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:14 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:14 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SVCO showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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