Silvaco Group (SVCO) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SVCO - Silvaco Group, Inc. Common Stock
$9.02
0.26 (2.97%)
▲
5d:
+6.62%
30d:
+38.13%
90d:
-18.74%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 1, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 11, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR BETTER ENTRY: SVCO is 12.3% above its trading range ($8.03). Market expects 6.7% annual growth, but current price leaves little margin for error. While momentum could continue, risk/reward favors waiting for a pullback.
⏸️ WAIT FOR BETTER ENTRY: SVCO is 12.3% above its trading range ($8.03). Market expects 6.7% annual growth, but current price leaves little margin for error. While momentum could continue, risk/reward favors waiting for a pullback.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$9.74
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$6.05
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SVCO is currently trading at $9.02, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $6.37 to $8.03. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 45.1) compared to its historical average (37.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 6.7% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SVCO is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $6.58, while resistance sits at $9.72.
Market Sentiment: SVCO scores 5/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $15.17 (+68.1%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SVCO is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $6.58, while resistance sits at $9.72.
Market Sentiment: SVCO scores 5/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $15.17 (+68.1%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$6.37 -
$8.03
Company Quality Score
20/100
(STRONG SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
18.1%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price significantly overextended (+12.3% above its trading range)
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (5/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 68.1% below Wall St target ($15.17)
- NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 6.7% growth which is achievable
- WARNING: Composite score 20/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$6.37 -
$8.03
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$6.58
Resistance Level
$9.72
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 1, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
45.10
Wall Street Target
$15.17
(+68.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
47.8%
Profit Margin
-30.4%
Valuation Premium vs History
+6.7% premium
PE vs Historical
45.1 vs 37.1
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+6.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$9.62
(+7%)
2-Year Target
$10.27
(+14%)
3-Year Target
$10.96
(+22%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 45→37)
PE COMPRESSION
$9.01
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 45.1, Growth: 275.2%)
$30.44
(+238%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.4, Growth: 275.2%)
$13.77
(+53%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.3, Growth: 275.2%)
$11.70
(+30%)
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 02, 2026 3:55 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:55 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:55 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SVCO showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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