SVCO Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SVCO - Silvaco Group, Inc. Common Stock
$6.73
-0.02 (-0.30%)
▼
5d:
-7.3%
30d:
-15.66%
90d:
-29.01%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 06, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: SVCO shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: SVCO shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$9.98
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$6.20
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SVCO is currently trading at $6.73, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $6.98 to $8.79. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 35.9) is in line with its historical norms (37.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.5% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SVCO is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $6.29, while resistance sits at $8.34.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 57/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $15.17 (+106.3%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SVCO is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $6.29, while resistance sits at $8.34.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 57/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $15.17 (+106.3%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$6.98 -
$8.79
Company Quality Score
52/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (57/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 106.3% below Wall St target ($15.17)
- WARNING: Composite score 52/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$6.98 -
$8.79
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$6.29
Resistance Level
$8.34
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
35.85
Wall Street Target
$15.17
(+106.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
47.8%
Profit Margin
-30.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
35.9 vs 37.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$7.24
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$7.13
(-3%)
3-Year Target
$7.02
(-4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 36→38)
$7.35
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 35.9, Growth: 296.5%)
$24.81
(+238%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.1, Growth: 296.5%)
$13.91
(+89%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.1, Growth: 296.5%)
$11.83
(+61%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 35.9 to 37.5
Stabilization Target:
$7.69
(+4.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+4.6%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 22, 2026 7:51 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:51 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:51 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SVCO showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
3
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Christopher John Zegarel…
SELL
2431 shares
2026-04-01
Candace Jackson
SELL
1817 shares
2026-04-01
Candace Jackson
SELL
1500 shares
2026-03-17
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