UAA Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
UAA - Under Armour, Inc.
$6.06
0.36 (6.32%)
▲
5d:
+0.83%
30d:
+17.9%
90d:
-0.82%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 18, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 07, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 8.0/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: UAA shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.8% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: UAA shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.8% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$11.05
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$6.86
11.6% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: UAA is currently trading at $6.06, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $5.24 to $5.92. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 26.7) is in line with its historical norms (25.3). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.8% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, UAA is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $6.10. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 6.3% recently.
Market Sentiment: UAA has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, UAA is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $6.10. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 6.3% recently.
Market Sentiment: UAA has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$5.24 -
$5.92
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
65.2%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+6.3%)
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($6.28)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 1.8% growth with -0.8% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$5.24 -
$5.92
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$5.36
Resistance Level
$6.10
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
26.71
Wall Street Target
$6.28
(+3.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-0.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-98.9%
Profit Margin
-10.0%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.8% premium
PE vs Historical
26.7 vs 25.3
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$6.17
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$6.28
(+4%)
3-Year Target
$6.39
(+6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 27→25)
PE COMPRESSION
$6.06
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 26.7, Growth: 96.6%)
$20.45
(+238%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: 96.6%)
$16.68
(+175%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.5, Growth: 96.6%)
$14.18
(+134%)
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 19, 2026 9:51 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:51 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:51 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is UAA showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
14
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
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BUY
995896 shares
2026-01-26
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Advanced UAA Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's UAA price and gamma walls.
