VICR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

VICR - Vicor Corp

ELECTRONIC COMPONENTS, NEC
$252.16
-19.89 (-7.31%) β–Ό
5d: -11.63%
30d: -8.48%
90d: +35.85%
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LOW Confidence
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Analysis Updated: Jul 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 21, 2026 7d
Smart Money Accumulation

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Strength: 6.6/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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πŸ’‘
Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: VICR is down 11.6% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction β†’

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$274.58
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$170.49
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: VICR is currently trading at $252.16, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $285.39 to $348.28. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 48.2) compared to its historical average (55.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.6% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 701.4% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, VICR is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $246.43. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 7.3% recently.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $406.25 (+49.3%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range $285.39 - $348.28
Company Quality Score 53/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 74.8%

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All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BEARISH: Downward momentum (-7.3%)
  • BULLISH: Trading 49.3% below Wall St target ($406.25)
  • WARNING: Recommendation downgraded due to -11.6% 5-day decline - wait for stabilization

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $285.39 - $348.28
Current vs Trading Range OVERSOLD

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $246.43
Resistance Level $382.65
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of Jul 13, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 48.24
Wall Street Target $406.25 (+49.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 20.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 701.4%
Profit Margin 32.0%
Valuation Discount vs History -4.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical 48.2 vs 55.6 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -4.6% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $259.54 (-5%)
2-Year Target $247.60 (-9%)
3-Year Target $236.21 (-13%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 48β†’56) $272.27 (+0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 48.2, Growth: 83.7%) $918.17 (+238%)
Base: (SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: 83.7%) $414.58 (+52%)
Bear: (PE: 18.5, Growth: 83.7%) $352.39 (+30%)
πŸ“ˆ Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (88x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (48x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 87.79 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.16
Bull Case $544.68 (+100%)
Analyst growth 78.5%, PE expands to 96.6
Base Case $495.16 (+82%)
Market implied 78.5%, PE stable at 87.8
Bear Case $188.65 (-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 74.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
πŸ’‘ Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 48.2 to 55.6
Stabilization Target: $313.58 (+15.3%)
PE Expansion Potential: +15.3%
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Last updated: July 13, 2026 4:22 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:22 PM
πŸ”₯ Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
20
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Patrizio Vinciarelli SELL 40000 shares 2026-04-16
Patrizio Vinciarelli SELL 50000 shares 2026-04-15
Patrizio Vinciarelli SELL 19778 shares 2026-04-14

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Advanced VICR Option Strategies

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