TEL
TE Connectivity plc
WHOLESALE-ELECTRONIC PARTS & EQUIPMENT, NEC
TE Connectivity (TEL) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$217.76
-0.99 (-0.45%)
▼
5d:
-0.91%
30d:
+0.22%
90d:
+1.66%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
BUY
MODERATE Confidence (81%)
Quality Score
66/100
Position
FAIR
30-Day Fair Range
$210.83 – $220.35
Position: FAIR
Forward P/E & Valuation
16.8x
FAIR
vs 17.6x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$258.37
+18.6% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$205.44 / $230.00
Trend: Strong Uptrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: TEL shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.5% decline. Moderate conviction.
TEL is flagged by 1 backtest-validated scanner today
SPY Bullish (stocks from this scanner have beaten SPY by a median 0.37% over the next 20 trading days; TEL has been on it 2 days). Backtested on 8 months of scanner history vs the S&P 500, as of 2026-11-10.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$344.13
Based on 8.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$213.68
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 17.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TEL is currently trading at $217.76, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $210.83 to $220.35. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 16.8) is in line with its historical norms (17.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.5% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 39.1% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TEL is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $205.44, while resistance sits at $230.00.
Market Sentiment: TEL scores 69/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $258.37 (+18.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TEL is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $205.44, while resistance sits at $230.00.
Market Sentiment: TEL scores 69/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $258.37 (+18.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$210.83 -
$220.35
Company Quality Score
66/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
81.0%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$210.83 -
$220.35
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support Level
$205.44
Resistance Level
$230.00
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Nov 10, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (69/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($258.37)
- BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 69/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
16.79
Wall Street Target
$258.37
(+18.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
11.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
39.1%
Profit Margin
16.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
16.8 vs 17.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$214.49
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$211.28
(-3%)
3-Year Target
$208.11
(-4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 17→18)
$218.20
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 13.2%)
$374.16
(+72%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 16.8, Growth: 13.2%)
$316.25
(+45%)
Bear:
(PE: 14.3, Growth: 13.2%)
$268.81
(+23%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (20x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (17x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 19.76 | Current EPS (TTM): $11.07
Bull Case
$281.99
(+30%)
Analyst growth 17.2%, PE expands to 21.7
Base Case
$256.35
(+18%)
Market implied 17.2%, PE stable at 19.8
Bear Case
$148.75
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 16.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 16.8 to 17.6
Stabilization Target:
$228.32
(+4.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+4.8%
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (TEL)
Bearish
2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bearish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Nov 9, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
TE Connectivity ($TEL) saw a 13% organic revenue growth in Q4 2022, driven by the infrastructure growth in data centers and high-speed connectivity.
Key Retail Themes:
Revenue growth
Infrastructure growth
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 11, 2026 6:28 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:28 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:28 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is TEL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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