TE Connectivity (TEL) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
TEL - TE Connectivity plc
$211.96
7.33 (3.58%)
▲
5d:
+1.22%
30d:
-1.05%
90d:
+2.03%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 04, 2026
Smart Money Distribution
Options positioning is turning defensive after a sharp run-up - a pattern consistent with institutional profit-taking. View Scanner →
Signal fired Sep 4, 2026 at $208.65 · last confirmed Sep 9, 2026
Strength: 4.6/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: TEL shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: TEL shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$342.36
Based on 8.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$212.58
0.3% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 17.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TEL is currently trading at $211.96, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $202.83 to $214.67. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 16.4) is in line with its historical norms (17.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.7% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 19.2% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TEL is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $213.71. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.6% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 54/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $246.79 (+16.4%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TEL is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $213.71. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.6% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 54/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $246.79 (+16.4%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$202.83 -
$214.67
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
67.6%
Protect Your Profits
Holding TEL? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (54/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.6%)
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($246.79)
- NEUTRAL: Bottoming setup forming (54/100) — watch for confirmation
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$202.83 -
$214.67
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$199.82
Resistance Level
$213.71
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
16.42
Wall Street Target
$246.79
(+16.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
13.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
19.2%
Profit Margin
15.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
16.4 vs 17.8
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$206.24
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$200.67
(-5%)
3-Year Target
$195.25
(-8%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 16→18)
$211.62
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: 12.7%)
$372.42
(+76%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 16.4, Growth: 12.7%)
$303.24
(+43%)
Bear:
(PE: 14.0, Growth: 12.7%)
$257.76
(+22%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (20x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (16x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 20.04 | Current EPS (TTM): $10.21
Bull Case
$284.53
(+34%)
Analyst growth 26.4%, PE expands to 22.1
Base Case
$258.67
(+22%)
Market implied 26.4%, PE stable at 20.0
Bear Case
$139.15
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 17.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 16.4 to 17.8
Stabilization Target:
$229.73
(+8.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+8.4%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 11, 2026 7:52 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:52 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:52 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
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Technical Signals Check
Is TEL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
1
Sells
0
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Shadrak W Kroeger
SELL
9400 shares
2026-04-08
Gilbert Ray Cisneros, Jr.
BUY
2026-03-18
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Advanced TEL Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's TEL price and gamma walls.