TEL Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
TEL - TE Connectivity plc
$203.52
2.98 (1.49%)
â˛
5d:
-5.88%
30d:
+2.38%
90d:
+0.47%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 28, 2026
Get Alerted When TEL Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: TEL is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -4.7% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: TEL is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -4.7% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$346.21
Based on 8.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$214.97
5.3% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 18.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TEL is currently trading at $203.52, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $201.48 to $214.59. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 15.5) compared to its historical average (18.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.7% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 19.2% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TEL is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $199.45. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: TEL scores 25/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $246.79 (+23.1%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TEL is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $199.45. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: TEL scores 25/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $246.79 (+23.1%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$201.48 -
$214.59
Company Quality Score
53/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
Protect Your Profits
Holding TEL? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 23.1% below Wall St target ($246.79)
- WARNING: Composite score 52/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$201.48 -
$214.59
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$199.45
Resistance Level
$221.98
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
15.54
Wall Street Target
$246.79
(+23.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
13.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
19.2%
Profit Margin
15.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-4.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
15.5 vs 18.0
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-4.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$191.11
(-5%)
2-Year Target
$182.13
(-9%)
3-Year Target
$173.57
(-13%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 16â18)
$201.07
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: 12.7%)
$370.58
(+85%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 15.5, Growth: 12.7%)
$286.90
(+43%)
Bear:
(PE: 13.2, Growth: 12.7%)
$243.87
(+22%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (20x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (16x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 20.08 | Current EPS (TTM): $10.14
Bull Case
$285.01
(+40%)
Analyst growth 27.3%, PE expands to 22.1
Base Case
$259.10
(+27%)
Market implied 27.3%, PE stable at 20.1
Bear Case
$138.43
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 17.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
đĄ
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 15.5 to 18.0
Stabilization Target:
$232.31
(+15.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+15.8%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 22, 2026 5:03 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:03 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:03 PM
đĨ Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is TEL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Shadrak W Kroeger
SELL
9400 shares
2026-04-08
Gilbert Ray Cisneros, Jr.
BUY
2026-03-18
Shadrak W Kroeger
SELL
9400 shares
2026-03-02
Top Rated Electronic Components Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Electronic Components by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
CLS
Celestica Inc. |
STRONG BUY
13 analysts |
$473 | 47 HOLD |
|
FLEX
Flex Ltd |
STRONG BUY
11 analysts |
$161 | 56 HOLD |
|
APH
Amphenol Corporation |
BUY
18 analysts |
$198 | 44 HOLD |
|
GLW
Corning Incorporated |
BUY
16 analysts |
$191 | 41 HOLD |
|
BELFB
Bel Fuse B Inc |
STRONG BUY
5 analysts |
$330 | 50 HOLD |
Advanced TEL Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's TEL price and gamma walls.