TE Connectivity (TEL) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
TEL - TE Connectivity plc
$217.76
6.68 (3.16%)
▲
5d:
+1.91%
30d:
+4.69%
90d:
+10.29%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 1, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 04, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: TEL shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: TEL shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$341.49
Based on 8.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$212.04
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 17.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TEL is currently trading at $217.76, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $202.68 to $212.27. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 16.9) is in line with its historical norms (17.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.6% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 19.2% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TEL is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $219.63. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.2% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 49/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $248.58 (+14.2%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TEL is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $219.63. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.2% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 49/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $248.58 (+14.2%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$202.68 -
$212.27
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
67.6%
Protect Your Profits
Holding TEL? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (49/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.2%)
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($248.58)
- NEUTRAL: Bottoming setup forming (49/100) — watch for confirmation
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$202.68 -
$212.27
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$204.44
Resistance Level
$219.63
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 1, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
16.86
Wall Street Target
$248.58
(+14.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
13.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
19.2%
Profit Margin
15.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
16.9 vs 17.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$214.28
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$210.85
(-3%)
3-Year Target
$207.47
(-5%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 17→18)
$217.83
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.4, Growth: 12.8%)
$377.81
(+74%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 16.9, Growth: 12.8%)
$312.23
(+43%)
Bear:
(PE: 14.3, Growth: 12.8%)
$265.39
(+22%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (21x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (17x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 20.69 | Current EPS (TTM): $10.20
Bull Case
$294.03
(+35%)
Analyst growth 26.6%, PE expands to 22.8
Base Case
$267.30
(+23%)
Market implied 26.6%, PE stable at 20.7
Bear Case
$143.53
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 17.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 16.9 to 17.7
Stabilization Target:
$228.63
(+5.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+5.0%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 02, 2026 3:32 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:32 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:32 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is TEL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Shadrak W Kroeger
SELL
9400 shares
2026-04-08
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