APH Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
APH - Amphenol Corporation
$165.96
2.00 (1.22%)
▲
5d:
+7.91%
30d:
+34.87%
90d:
+30.95%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 22, 2026
28d
Smart Money Distribution
None View Scanner →
Strength: 8.0/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: APH is fairly valued with market pricing in 0.8% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: APH is fairly valued with market pricing in 0.8% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$238.86
Based on 11.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$148.31
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: APH is currently trading at $165.96, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $130.46 to $157.30. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 29.2) is in line with its historical norms (28.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.8% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, APH is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $168.75. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: APH has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $183.28 (+10.4%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, APH is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $168.75. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: APH has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $183.28 (+10.4%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$130.46 -
$157.30
Company Quality Score
63/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
55.7%
Protect Your Profits
Holding APH? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range (+5.5% above its trading range)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($183.28)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.8% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$130.46 -
$157.30
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$141.86
Resistance Level
$168.75
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 22, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
29.19
Wall Street Target
$183.28
(+10.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
58.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
24.1%
Profit Margin
17.2%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.8% premium
PE vs Historical
29.2 vs 28.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$167.29
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$168.63
(+2%)
3-Year Target
$169.97
(+2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 29→29)
PE COMPRESSION
$165.97
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 29.2, Growth: 18.1%)
$273.08
(+65%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: 18.1%)
$203.77
(+23%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.5, Growth: 18.1%)
$173.21
(+4%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (47x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (29x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 47.11 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.48
Bull Case
$294.68
(+78%)
Analyst growth 63.4%, PE expands to 51.8
Base Case
$267.90
(+61%)
Market implied 63.4%, PE stable at 47.1
Bear Case
$111.49
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 40.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 23, 2026 5:48 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:48 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:48 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is APH showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Richard Adam Norwitt
SELL
515281 shares
2026-02-12
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