Amphenol (APH) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
APH - Amphenol Corporation
$79.20
-0.12 (-0.15%)
▼
5d:
-4.22%
30d:
-4.39%
90d:
+0.62%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 28, 2026
5d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: APH trades at premium valuation expecting 14.9% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
📊 HOLD: APH trades at premium valuation expecting 14.9% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$99.83
Based on 14.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$61.99
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 15.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: APH is currently trading at $79.20, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $79.37 to $86.25. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 23.8) compared to its historical average (15.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 14.9% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, APH is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $77.88. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 42/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $102.97 (+30.0%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, APH is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $77.88. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 42/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $102.97 (+30.0%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$79.37 -
$86.25
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
78.6%
Protect Your Profits
Holding APH? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (42/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 30.0% below Wall St target ($102.97)
- NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 14.9% growth which is achievable
- NEUTRAL: Bottoming setup forming (42/100) — watch for confirmation
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$79.37 -
$86.25
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$77.88
Resistance Level
$87.55
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
23.75
Wall Street Target
$102.97
(+30.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
55.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
59.3%
Profit Margin
17.7%
Valuation Premium vs History
+14.9% premium
PE vs Historical
23.8 vs 15.7
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+14.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$91.00
(+15%)
2-Year Target
$104.56
(+32%)
3-Year Target
$120.14
(+52%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 24→16)
PE COMPRESSION
$79.41
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 23.8, Growth: 24.0%)
$150.96
(+91%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: 24.0%)
$126.22
(+59%)
Bear:
(PE: 15.7, Growth: 24.0%)
$99.78
(+26%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (40x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (24x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 40.06 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.98
Bull Case
$146.94
(+86%)
Analyst growth 68.4%, PE expands to 44.1
Base Case
$133.58
(+69%)
Market implied 68.4%, PE stable at 40.1
Bear Case
$53.94
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 34.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 21, 2026 10:13 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:13 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:13 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is APH showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced APH Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's APH price and gamma walls.
