Amphenol (APH) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
APH - Amphenol Corporation
$84.39
4.14 (5.15%)
▲
5d:
+2.82%
30d:
-50.35%
90d:
-44.65%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 28, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
Options open interest is building while the stock consolidates - a pattern consistent with institutional accumulation. View Scanner →
Signal fired Sep 4, 2026 at $82.78 · last confirmed Sep 11, 2026
Strength: 9.0/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: APH shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: APH shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$149.05
Based on 13.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$92.55
8.8% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: APH is currently trading at $84.39, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $113.17 to $179.90. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 24.7) compared to its historical average (27.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.0% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 59.3% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, APH is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $79.23, while resistance sits at $163.29. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 5.2% recently.
Market Sentiment: APH scores 35/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $99.12 (+23.5%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, APH is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $79.23, while resistance sits at $163.29. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 5.2% recently.
Market Sentiment: APH scores 35/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $99.12 (+23.5%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$113.17 -
$179.90
Company Quality Score
48/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
61.9%
Protect Your Profits
Holding APH? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (35/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+5.2%)
- BULLISH: Trading 23.5% below Wall St target ($99.12)
- WARNING: Composite score 48/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$113.17 -
$179.90
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$79.23
Resistance Level
$163.29
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
24.71
Wall Street Target
$99.12
(+23.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
55.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
59.3%
Profit Margin
17.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-4.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical
24.7 vs 27.9
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-4.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$77.04
(-4%)
2-Year Target
$73.96
(-8%)
3-Year Target
$71.00
(-12%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 25→28)
$80.17
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 24.7, Growth: 22.2%)
$146.31
(+82%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.2, Growth: 22.2%)
$119.44
(+49%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.1, Growth: 22.2%)
$101.53
(+27%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (41x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (25x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 40.67 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.00
Bull Case
$145.31
(+81%)
Analyst growth 62.4%, PE expands to 44.7
Base Case
$132.10
(+65%)
Market implied 62.4%, PE stable at 40.7
Bear Case
$55.31
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 34.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 24.7 to 27.9
Stabilization Target:
$90.62
(+12.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+12.9%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 11, 2026 3:28 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:28 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:28 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is APH showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced APH Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's APH price and gamma walls.
