Is APH stock a Buy, Sell, or Hold?

Based on our analysis, APH is currently a WAIT with low confidence. 📊 MIXED SIGNALS: APH shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.

What is the fair value of APH stock?

Our analysis estimates the fair value range for APH to be between $78.71 and $83.60. The current price is $85.67.

What is the analyst price target for APH?

The average Wall Street analyst price target for APH is $99.68. This implies a potential upside of 16.4% from current levels.

Amphenol (APH) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

APH - Amphenol Corporation

ELECTRONIC CONNECTORS

$85.67

1.37 (1.63%) ▲

5d: +3.12%

30d: +5.0%

90d: +4.1%

WAIT

LOW Confidence

Protect Your APH Gains

Analysis Updated: Oct 1, 2026 12:00 AM ET

Earnings: Oct 28, 2026 26d

Smart Money Distribution

Options positioning is turning defensive after a sharp run-up - a pattern consistent with institutional profit-taking. View Scanner →

Signal fired Sep 21, 2026 at $80.66 · last confirmed Oct 1, 2026

Strength: 8.5/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: APH shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.

See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

Adjust Growth Assumption: 23.1%

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)

EST. PRICE IN 2031

$92.27

Based on 13.6% avg growth

INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY

$57.29

Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 15.0x Exit PE.

View Full DCF Model

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: APH is currently trading at $85.67, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $78.71 to $83.60. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 26.1) compared to its historical average (15.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 20.3% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, APH is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $87.09. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.

Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 45/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $99.68 (+16.4%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED

Historical Trading Range $78.71 - $83.60

Company Quality Score 51/100 (HOLD)

Volume Confirmation HIGH

Confidence Score 47.6%

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All Signals

BEARISH: Price extended above range
NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
BULLISH: High volume confirmation
BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($99.68)
NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 20.3% growth which is achievable
WARNING: Composite score 50/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $78.71 - $83.60

Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $77.40

Resistance Level $87.09

Current Trend Strong Uptrend

Technical data as of Oct 1, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 26.06

Wall Street Target $99.68 (+16.4%)

Revenue Growth (YoY) 55.0%

Earnings Growth (YoY) 59.3%

Profit Margin 17.7%

Valuation Premium vs History +20.3% premium

PE vs Historical 26.1 vs 15.0 STRETCHED

Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists

Implied Growth (YoY): +20.3% (market-implied from PE analysis)

1-Year Target $103.06 (+20%)

2-Year Target $123.98 (+45%)

3-Year Target $149.15 (+74%)

3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 26→15) PE COMPRESSION $85.86 (+0%)

Earnings growth offset by PE compression

3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth

Bull: (PE: 26.1, Growth: 23.1%) $159.98 (+87%)

Base: (SPY PE: 20.4, Growth: 23.1%) $125.24 (+46%)

Bear: (PE: 15.0, Growth: 23.1%) $92.09 (+8%)

📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings

RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (42x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (26x PE) as earnings recover.

Trailing PE: 42.38 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.99

Bull Case $152.93 (+81%)

Analyst growth 64.8%, PE expands to 46.6

Base Case $139.03 (+65%)

Market implied 64.8%, PE stable at 42.4

Bear Case $57.35 (-32%)

Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 36.0

These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.

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Last updated: October 01, 2026 5:01 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:01 PM

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Insider Activity (6 Months)

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Advanced APH Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's APH price and gamma walls.

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