Vicor (VICR) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

VICR - Vicor Corp

ELECTRONIC COMPONENTS, NEC
$308.59
19.65 (6.80%) β–²
5d: +11.78%
30d: +75.35%
90d: +9.06%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
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Analysis Updated: Oct 1, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 20, 2026 17d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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πŸ’‘
Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR BETTER ENTRY: VICR is 17.2% above its trading range ($263.29). Market expects 0.3% annual growth, but current price leaves little margin for error. While momentum could continue, risk/reward favors waiting for a pullback.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction β†’

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$290.89
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$180.62
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: VICR is currently trading at $308.59, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $175.27 to $263.29. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 51.6) is in line with its historical norms (51.3). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.3% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, VICR is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $212.20, while resistance sits at $331.00. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 6.8% recently.

Market Sentiment: VICR scores 5/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $390.00 (+26.4%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range $175.27 - $263.29
Company Quality Score 28/100 (SELL)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 24.8%

Protect Your Profits

VICR is technically overbought (RSI 75). Consider hedging now to protect against a potential pullback while keeping your upside.

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All Signals

  • BEARISH: Price significantly overextended (+17.2% above its trading range)
  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (5/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+6.8%)
  • BULLISH: Trading 26.4% below Wall St target ($390.00)
  • NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.3% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
  • WARNING: Composite score 28/100 in the bottom quintile β€” this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $175.27 - $263.29
Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $212.20
Resistance Level $331.00
Current Trend Downtrend
Technical data as of Oct 1, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 51.65
Wall Street Target $390.00 (+26.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 49.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 14.3%
Profit Margin 30.6%
Valuation Premium vs History +0.3% premium
PE vs Historical 51.7 vs 51.3 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +0.3% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $309.52 (+0%)
2-Year Target $310.44 (+1%)
3-Year Target $311.38 (+1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 52β†’51) PE COMPRESSION $309.28 (+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 51.6, Growth: 49.0%) $1020.85 (+231%)
Base: (SPY PE: 20.4, Growth: 49.0%) $403.23 (+31%)
Bear: (PE: 17.3, Growth: 49.0%) $342.74 (+11%)
πŸ“ˆ Valuation based on Current Earnings
Forward PE: 47.17 | Forward EPS (Implied): $6.54
Bull Case $372.62 (+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 49.5
Base Case $308.59 (0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 47.2
Bear Case $236.07 (-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 42.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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Last updated: October 02, 2026 3:58 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:58 AM
πŸ”₯ Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
4
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Patrizio Vinciarelli SELL 40000 shares 2026-04-16
Patrizio Vinciarelli SELL 50000 shares 2026-04-15
Patrizio Vinciarelli SELL 19778 shares 2026-04-14

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