ZM Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

ZM - Zoom Communications, Inc. Class A Common Stock

SERVICES-COMPUTER PROGRAMMING, DATA PROCESSING, ETC.
$84.34
-2.02 (-2.34%) ▼
5d: -9.97%
30d: -15.17%
90d: +10.09%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
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Analysis Updated: Jun 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 20, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation

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Strength: 9.0/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: ZM is fairly valued with market pricing in 0.1% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$27.82
Based on -18.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$17.27
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 23.7x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: ZM is currently trading at $84.34, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $91.67 to $105.06. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 23.8) is in line with its historical norms (23.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.1% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, ZM is showing support break momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $82.95. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $115.00 (+36.4%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range $91.67 - $105.06
Company Quality Score 47/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 80.5%

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All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 36.4% below Wall St target ($115.00)
  • NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.1% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
  • CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -10.0% 5-day decline

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $91.67 - $105.06
Current vs Trading Range OVERSOLD

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $82.95
Resistance Level $102.80
Current Trend Support Break
Technical data as of Jun 22, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 23.76
Wall Street Target $115.00 (+36.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 5.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 74.2%
Profit Margin 42.0%
Valuation Premium vs History +0.1% premium
PE vs Historical 23.8 vs 23.7 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +0.1% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $84.42 (+0%)
2-Year Target $84.51 (+0%)
3-Year Target $84.59 (+0%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 24→24) PE COMPRESSION $84.39 (+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 23.8, Growth: -40.6%) $61.48 (+-27%)
Base: (SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: -40.6%) $56.37 (-33%)
Bear: (PE: 18.5, Growth: -40.6%) $47.91 (-43%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 12.72 | Current EPS (TTM): $6.79
Bull Case $49.67 (-41%)
Analyst growth -47.7%, PE expands to 14.0
Base Case $45.15 (-47%)
Market implied -47.7%, PE stable at 12.7
Bear Case $58.72 (-30%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 10.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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Last updated: June 23, 2026 6:05 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:05 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
17
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Aparna Bawa SELL 12886 shares 2026-04-17
Santiago Subotovsky SELL 2388 shares 2026-04-16
Santiago Subotovsky SELL 2643 shares 2026-04-16

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