AMT Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

AMT - American Tower Corporation

REAL ESTATE INVESTMENT TRUSTS
$175.80
0.08 (0.05%) ▲
5d: +0.13%
30d: +6.77%
90d: -4.34%
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LOW Confidence
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Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 27, 2026

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: AMT shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$341.27
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$211.90
17.0% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: AMT is currently trading at $175.80, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $167.26 to $174.65. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 25.1) is in line with its historical norms (25.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.8% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 138.5% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, AMT is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $178.02. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.

Market Sentiment: AMT scores 64/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $215.70 (+22.7%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range $167.26 - $174.65
Company Quality Score 49/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 61.9%

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All Signals

  • BEARISH: Price extended above range
  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (64/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 22.7% below Wall St target ($215.70)
  • WARNING: Composite score 49/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $167.26 - $174.65
Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $168.50
Resistance Level $178.02
Current Trend Downtrend
Technical data as of Aug 21, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 25.08
Wall Street Target $215.70 (+22.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 4.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 138.5%
Profit Margin 31.1%
Valuation Discount vs History -0.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical 25.1 vs 25.7 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -0.8% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $174.39 (-1%)
2-Year Target $173.00 (-2%)
3-Year Target $171.61 (-2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 25→26) $175.87 (0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 25.1, Growth: 37.9%) $177.81 (+1%)
Base: (SPY PE: 20.1, Growth: 37.9%) $142.30 (-19%)
Bear: (PE: 17.1, Growth: 37.9%) $120.95 (-31%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 23.97 | Current EPS (TTM): $7.33
Bull Case $184.85 (+5%)
Analyst growth -4.4%, PE expands to 26.4
Base Case $168.05 (-4%)
Market implied -4.4%, PE stable at 24.0
Bear Case $119.49 (-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 20.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 25.1 to 25.7
Stabilization Target: $180.16 (+2.5%)
PE Expansion Potential: +2.5%
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Last updated: August 23, 2026 5:46 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:46 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
2
Buys
2
Sells
0
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna SELL 2026-03-30
Ro Khanna BUY 2026-03-23
Rajesh Kalathur BUY 2671 shares 2026-03-10

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