GLPI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
GLPI - Gaming and Leisure Properties, Inc.
$40.24
-0.74 (-1.81%)
▼
5d:
-5.0%
30d:
-6.64%
90d:
-15.94%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 29, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: GLPI shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: GLPI shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$60.45
Based on 5.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$37.54
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: GLPI is currently trading at $40.24, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $41.73 to $43.82. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 12.1) compared to its historical average (13.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.6% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 47.9% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GLPI is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $40.01. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: GLPI scores 31/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $53.22 (+32.2%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GLPI is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $40.01. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: GLPI scores 31/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $53.22 (+32.2%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$41.73 -
$43.82
Company Quality Score
44/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (31/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 32.2% below Wall St target ($53.22)
- WARNING: Composite score 44/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$41.73 -
$43.82
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$40.01
Resistance Level
$42.73
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.09
Wall Street Target
$53.22
(+32.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
9.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
47.9%
Profit Margin
58.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-4.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
12.1 vs 13.9
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-4.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$38.39
(-5%)
2-Year Target
$36.62
(-9%)
3-Year Target
$34.94
(-13%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→14)
$40.17
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: 7.0%)
$82.35
(+105%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.1, Growth: 7.0%)
$49.36
(+23%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.3, Growth: 7.0%)
$41.96
(+4%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (12x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (12x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 12.12 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.38
Bull Case
$44.39
(+10%)
Analyst growth -1.5%, PE expands to 13.3
Base Case
$40.36
(+0%)
Market implied -1.5%, PE stable at 12.1
Bear Case
$27.87
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 10.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 12.1 to 13.9
Stabilization Target:
$46.27
(+15.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+15.0%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 12, 2026 10:09 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:09 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:09 PM
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| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
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Technical Signals Check
Is GLPI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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