GLPI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

GLPI - Gaming and Leisure Properties, Inc.

REAL ESTATE INVESTMENT TRUSTS
$40.02
1.67 (4.35%) ▲
5d: +2.41%
30d: +1.96%
90d: -11.4%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 29, 2026 5d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: GLPI shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$59.50
Based on 5.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$36.94
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.6x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: GLPI is currently trading at $40.02, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $37.98 to $39.82. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 12.0) compared to its historical average (13.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.2% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 47.9% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, GLPI is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $40.12. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.4% recently.

Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 59/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $51.04 (+27.5%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range $37.98 - $39.82
Company Quality Score 54/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 55.7%

All Signals

  • BEARISH: Price extended above range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (59/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+4.4%)
  • BULLISH: Trading 27.5% below Wall St target ($51.04)
  • NEUTRAL: Bottoming setup forming (59/100) — watch for confirmation

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $37.98 - $39.82
Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $37.81
Resistance Level $40.12
Current Trend Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of Oct 22, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 12.01
Wall Street Target $51.04 (+27.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 9.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 47.9%
Profit Margin 58.5%
Valuation Discount vs History -4.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical 12.0 vs 13.6 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -4.2% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $38.34 (-4%)
2-Year Target $36.73 (-8%)
3-Year Target $35.19 (-12%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 12→14) $39.85 (0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 19.9, Growth: 7.2%) $81.48 (+104%)
Base: (SPY PE: 12.0, Growth: 7.2%) $49.27 (+23%)
Bear: (PE: 10.2, Growth: 7.2%) $41.88 (+5%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 11.21 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.42
Bull Case $41.11 (+3%)
Analyst growth -2.6%, PE expands to 12.3
Base Case $37.37 (-7%)
Market implied -2.6%, PE stable at 11.2
Bear Case $26.08 (-35%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 9.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 12.0 to 13.6
Stabilization Target: $45.32 (+13.3%)
PE Expansion Potential: +13.3%
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Last updated: October 23, 2026 1:00 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:00 AM
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Insider Activity (6 Months)
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NEUTRAL

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