GLPI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
GLPI - Gaming and Leisure Properties, Inc.
$44.79
0.08 (0.18%)
▲
5d:
-0.84%
30d:
+2.52%
90d:
-7.57%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 30, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: GLPI shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.6% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: GLPI shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.6% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$56.33
Based on 3.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$34.98
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: GLPI is currently trading at $44.79, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $43.72 to $45.39. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 13.4) is in line with its historical norms (14.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.6% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 36.4% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GLPI is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $43.89. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $53.77 (+20.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GLPI is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $43.89. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $53.77 (+20.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$43.72 -
$45.39
Company Quality Score
53/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
70.0%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($53.77)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$43.72 -
$45.39
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$43.89
Resistance Level
$46.63
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jul 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
13.45
Wall Street Target
$53.77
(+20.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
6.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
36.4%
Profit Margin
55.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
13.5 vs 14.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$44.07
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$43.37
(-3%)
3-Year Target
$42.67
(-5%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 13→14)
$44.75
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.7, Growth: 3.4%)
$76.26
(+70%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 13.4, Growth: 3.4%)
$49.46
(+10%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.4, Growth: 3.4%)
$42.04
(-6%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (15x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (13x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 14.52 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.08
Bull Case
$53.19
(+19%)
Analyst growth 8.2%, PE expands to 16.0
Base Case
$48.36
(+8%)
Market implied 8.2%, PE stable at 14.5
Bear Case
$30.40
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 12.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 13.4 to 14.1
Stabilization Target:
$46.97
(+4.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+4.9%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 03, 2026 1:29 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:29 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:29 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is GLPI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
5
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Desiree A Burke
SELL
9804 shares
2026-02-27
Brandon John Moore
SELL
16884 shares
2026-02-24
Brandon John Moore
SELL
114 shares
2026-02-23
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