GLPI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
GLPI - Gaming and Leisure Properties, Inc.
$40.02
1.67 (4.35%)
▲
5d:
+2.41%
30d:
+1.96%
90d:
-11.4%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 29, 2026
5d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: GLPI shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: GLPI shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$59.50
Based on 5.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$36.94
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: GLPI is currently trading at $40.02, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $37.98 to $39.82. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 12.0) compared to its historical average (13.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.2% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 47.9% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GLPI is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $40.12. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.4% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 59/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $51.04 (+27.5%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GLPI is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $40.12. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.4% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 59/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $51.04 (+27.5%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$37.98 -
$39.82
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
55.7%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (59/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+4.4%)
- BULLISH: Trading 27.5% below Wall St target ($51.04)
- NEUTRAL: Bottoming setup forming (59/100) — watch for confirmation
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$37.98 -
$39.82
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$37.81
Resistance Level
$40.12
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 22, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.01
Wall Street Target
$51.04
(+27.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
9.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
47.9%
Profit Margin
58.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-4.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
12.0 vs 13.6
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-4.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$38.34
(-4%)
2-Year Target
$36.73
(-8%)
3-Year Target
$35.19
(-12%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→14)
$39.85
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 7.2%)
$81.48
(+104%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.0, Growth: 7.2%)
$49.27
(+23%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.2, Growth: 7.2%)
$41.88
(+5%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 11.21 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.42
Bull Case
$41.11
(+3%)
Analyst growth -2.6%, PE expands to 12.3
Base Case
$37.37
(-7%)
Market implied -2.6%, PE stable at 11.2
Bear Case
$26.08
(-35%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 9.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 12.0 to 13.6
Stabilization Target:
$45.32
(+13.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+13.3%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 23, 2026 1:00 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:00 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:00 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is GLPI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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