GLPI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$39.27
+0.03 (+0.08%)
â˛
5d:
-1.41%
30d:
+2.4%
90d:
-10.03%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (65%)
Quality Score
51/100
Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
30-Day Fair Range
$38.32 â $39.49
Position: SLIGHTLY HIGH
Forward P/E & Valuation
11.9x
CHEAP
vs 13.5x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$48.93
+24.6% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$38.58 / $40.20
Trend: Strong Downtrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: GLPI is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -4.3% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$62.94
Based on 7.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$39.08
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: GLPI is currently trading at $39.27, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $38.32 to $39.49. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 11.9) compared to its historical average (13.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.3% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GLPI is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $38.58. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 48/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $48.93 (+24.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GLPI is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $38.58. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 48/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $48.93 (+24.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$38.32 -
$39.49
Company Quality Score
51/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
65.2%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$38.32 -
$39.49
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support Level
$38.58
Resistance Level
$40.20
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Nov 11, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (48/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 24.6% below Wall St target ($48.93)
- WARNING: Composite score 51/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.88
Wall Street Target
$48.93
(+24.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
9.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-16.5%
Profit Margin
55.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-4.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
11.9 vs 13.5
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-4.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$37.58
(-4%)
2-Year Target
$35.97
(-8%)
3-Year Target
$34.42
(-12%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12â14)
$39.10
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 10.3%)
$88.13
(+124%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.9, Growth: 10.3%)
$52.73
(+34%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.1, Growth: 10.3%)
$44.82
(+14%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (12x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (12x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 11.96 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.28
Bull Case
$43.49
(+11%)
Analyst growth 0.8%, PE expands to 13.2
Base Case
$39.54
(+1%)
Market implied 0.8%, PE stable at 12.0
Bear Case
$26.68
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 10.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
đĄ
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 11.9 to 13.5
Stabilization Target:
$44.61
(+13.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+13.6%
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (GLPI)
Bearish
1 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bearish
Last Tracked
Jan 5, 2022
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
Reddit & WallStreetBets discussions on GLPI are bearish (sentiment score -0.23) across 1 tracked comments.
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 12, 2026 4:36 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:36 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:36 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is GLPI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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