GLPI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
GLPI - Gaming and Leisure Properties, Inc.
$37.68
0.09 (0.24%)
▲
5d:
-2.86%
30d:
-11.01%
90d:
-13.46%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 29, 2026
25d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: GLPI shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: GLPI shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$60.02
Based on 5.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$37.27
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: GLPI is currently trading at $37.68, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $38.86 to $42.33. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 11.3) compared to its historical average (13.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 6.4% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 47.9% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GLPI is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $37.35. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 53/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $52.39 (+39.0%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GLPI is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $37.35. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 53/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $52.39 (+39.0%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$38.86 -
$42.33
Company Quality Score
50/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (53/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 39.0% below Wall St target ($52.39)
- WARNING: Composite score 50/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$38.86 -
$42.33
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$37.36
Resistance Level
$40.01
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.32
Wall Street Target
$52.39
(+39.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
9.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
47.9%
Profit Margin
58.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-6.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
11.3 vs 13.8
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-6.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$35.27
(-6%)
2-Year Target
$33.01
(-12%)
3-Year Target
$30.90
(-18%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11→14)
$37.67
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.4, Growth: 7.0%)
$83.29
(+121%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.3, Growth: 7.0%)
$46.22
(+23%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.6, Growth: 7.0%)
$39.29
(+4%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 10.99 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.42
Bull Case
$40.24
(+7%)
Analyst growth -2.7%, PE expands to 12.1
Base Case
$36.59
(-3%)
Market implied -2.7%, PE stable at 11.0
Bear Case
$25.56
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 9.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 11.3 to 13.8
Stabilization Target:
$45.93
(+21.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+21.9%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 02, 2026 11:14 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:14 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:14 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is GLPI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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