GLPI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

GLPI - Gaming and Leisure Properties, Inc.

REAL ESTATE INVESTMENT TRUSTS
$40.24
-0.74 (-1.81%) ▼
5d: -5.0%
30d: -6.64%
90d: -15.94%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 29, 2026

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: GLPI shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$60.45
Based on 5.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$37.54
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.9x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: GLPI is currently trading at $40.24, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $41.73 to $43.82. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 12.1) compared to its historical average (13.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.6% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 47.9% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, GLPI is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $40.01. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: GLPI scores 31/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $53.22 (+32.2%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range $41.73 - $43.82
Company Quality Score 44/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 57.1%

All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (31/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 32.2% below Wall St target ($53.22)
  • WARNING: Composite score 44/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $41.73 - $43.82
Current vs Trading Range OVERSOLD

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $40.01
Resistance Level $42.73
Current Trend Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of Sep 11, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 12.09
Wall Street Target $53.22 (+32.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 9.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 47.9%
Profit Margin 58.5%
Valuation Discount vs History -4.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical 12.1 vs 13.9 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -4.6% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $38.39 (-5%)
2-Year Target $36.62 (-9%)
3-Year Target $34.94 (-13%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 12→14) $40.17 (0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 20.2, Growth: 7.0%) $82.35 (+105%)
Base: (SPY PE: 12.1, Growth: 7.0%) $49.36 (+23%)
Bear: (PE: 10.3, Growth: 7.0%) $41.96 (+4%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (12x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (12x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 12.12 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.38
Bull Case $44.39 (+10%)
Analyst growth -1.5%, PE expands to 13.3
Base Case $40.36 (+0%)
Market implied -1.5%, PE stable at 12.1
Bear Case $27.87 (-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 10.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 12.1 to 13.9
Stabilization Target: $46.27 (+15.0%)
PE Expansion Potential: +15.0%
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Last updated: September 12, 2026 10:09 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:09 PM
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Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
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Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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