GLPI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
GLPI - Gaming and Leisure Properties, Inc.
$44.04
0.86 (1.99%)
▲
5d:
+1.15%
30d:
-9.03%
90d:
-5.7%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 30, 2026
16d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: GLPI shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: GLPI shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$56.86
Based on 3.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$35.31
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: GLPI is currently trading at $44.04, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $43.74 to $46.94. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 13.2) is in line with its historical norms (14.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.3% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 36.4% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GLPI is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $45.85. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: GLPI has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $54.39 (+23.5%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GLPI is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $45.85. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: GLPI has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $54.39 (+23.5%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$43.74 -
$46.94
Company Quality Score
53/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 23.5% below Wall St target ($54.39)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$43.74 -
$46.94
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$45.85
Resistance Level
$48.09
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
13.22
Wall Street Target
$54.39
(+23.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
6.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
36.4%
Profit Margin
55.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
13.2 vs 14.2
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$43.03
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$42.04
(-5%)
3-Year Target
$41.07
(-7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 13→14)
$44.11
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 3.5%)
$80.36
(+83%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 13.2, Growth: 3.5%)
$48.78
(+11%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.2, Growth: 3.5%)
$41.46
(-6%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (14x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (13x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 13.53 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.18
Bull Case
$49.54
(+15%)
Analyst growth 4.6%, PE expands to 14.9
Base Case
$45.03
(+4%)
Market implied 4.6%, PE stable at 13.5
Bear Case
$29.27
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 11.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 13.2 to 14.2
Stabilization Target:
$47.30
(+7.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+7.4%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 13, 2026 5:47 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:47 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:47 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is GLPI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
5
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Desiree A Burke
SELL
9804 shares
2026-02-27
Brandon John Moore
SELL
16884 shares
2026-02-24
Brandon John Moore
SELL
114 shares
2026-02-23
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