WY Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
WY - Weyerhaeuser Company
$23.41
-0.04 (-0.17%)
▼
5d:
+0.04%
30d:
-3.1%
90d:
-4.99%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 30, 2026
16d
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 7.4/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: WY appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -12.8% annual earnings decline despite 97% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: WY appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -12.8% annual earnings decline despite 97% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$32.94
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$20.45
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: WY is currently trading at $23.41, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $23.40 to $24.97. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 34.6) compared to its historical average (52.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 12.8% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 96.6% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, WY is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $23.60. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $31.18 (+33.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, WY is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $23.60. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $31.18 (+33.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$23.40 -
$24.97
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 33.2% below Wall St target ($31.18)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$23.40 -
$24.97
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$23.60
Resistance Level
$25.09
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
34.60
Wall Street Target
$31.18
(+33.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-2.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
96.6%
Profit Margin
5.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-12.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
34.6 vs 52.2
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-12.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$21.07
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$18.96
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$17.07
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 35→52)
$25.75
(+10%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 34.6, Growth: 122.8%)
$79.01
(+238%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: 122.8%)
$49.74
(+113%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.5, Growth: 122.8%)
$42.27
(+81%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (40x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (35x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 40.18 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.56
Bull Case
$30.51
(+30%)
Analyst growth 23.3%, PE expands to 44.2
Base Case
$27.74
(+18%)
Market implied 23.3%, PE stable at 40.2
Bear Case
$15.30
(-35%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 34.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 34.6 to 52.2
Stabilization Target:
$35.32
(+50.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+50.9%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 13, 2026 5:48 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:48 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:48 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is WY showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
2
Buys
1
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-03-23
James Calvin O'rourke
BUY
4000 shares
2026-02-20
Richard Beckwitt
BUY
20000 shares
2026-02-19
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