WY Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
WY - Weyerhaeuser Company
$24.21
-0.04 (-0.16%)
▼
5d:
-1.78%
30d:
+2.93%
90d:
+4.53%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 23, 2026
29d
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 7.3/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: WY appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -13.7% annual earnings decline despite 97% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: WY appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -13.7% annual earnings decline despite 97% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$33.93
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$21.07
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: WY is currently trading at $24.21, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $23.44 to $24.69. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 34.8) compared to its historical average (54.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 13.7% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 96.6% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, WY is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $23.60. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: WY has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $31.18 (+28.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, WY is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $23.60. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: WY has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $31.18 (+28.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$23.44 -
$24.69
Company Quality Score
63/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
83.3%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 28.6% below Wall St target ($31.18)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$23.44 -
$24.69
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$23.60
Resistance Level
$25.09
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
34.79
Wall Street Target
$31.18
(+28.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-2.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
96.6%
Profit Margin
5.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-13.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
34.8 vs 54.0
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-13.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$21.83
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$19.64
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$17.68
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 35→54)
$27.44
(+13%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 34.8, Growth: 115.7%)
$81.84
(+238%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: 115.7%)
$51.23
(+111%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.5, Growth: 115.7%)
$43.55
(+80%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (43x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (35x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 43.43 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.56
Bull Case
$33.30
(+37%)
Analyst growth 24.5%, PE expands to 47.8
Base Case
$30.27
(+25%)
Market implied 24.5%, PE stable at 43.4
Bear Case
$16.54
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 36.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 34.8 to 54.0
Stabilization Target:
$37.64
(+55.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+55.2%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 23, 2026 10:14 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:14 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:14 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is WY showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
3
Buys
1
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-03-23
James Calvin O'rourke
BUY
4000 shares
2026-02-20
Richard Beckwitt
BUY
20000 shares
2026-02-19
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