Weyerhaeuser (WY) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

WY - Weyerhaeuser Company

REAL ESTATE INVESTMENT TRUSTS
$18.98
-0.36 (-1.86%) ▼
5d: +0.42%
30d: -11.88%
90d: -19.71%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 29, 2026 6d
Smart Money Accumulation

Options open interest is building while the stock consolidates - a pattern consistent with institutional accumulation. View Scanner →

Signal fired Oct 20, 2026 at $19.07 · last confirmed Oct 20, 2026

Strength: 5.7/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: WY shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 11.5% decline. Moderate conviction.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
WY is flagged by 1 backtest-validated scanner today

SPY Bullish (stocks from this scanner have beaten SPY by a median 0.37% over the next 20 trading days; WY has been on it 3 days). Backtested on 8 months of scanner history vs the S&P 500, as of 2026-10-21.

See all of today's Best Signals in the free scanner →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$28.70
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$17.82
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: WY is currently trading at $18.98, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $18.63 to $21.06. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 32.2) compared to its historical average (46.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 11.5% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 87.1% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, WY is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $18.45. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: WY scores 60/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $27.36 (+44.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range $18.63 - $21.06
Company Quality Score 57/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 90.5%

All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 44.2% below Wall St target ($27.36)
  • BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 60/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $18.63 - $21.06
Current vs Trading Range SLIGHTLY LOW

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $18.45
Resistance Level $19.85
Current Trend Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of Oct 21, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 32.19
Wall Street Target $27.36 (+44.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) -0.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 87.1%
Profit Margin 6.9%
Valuation Discount vs History -11.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical 32.2 vs 46.4 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -11.5% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $17.08 (-10%)
2-Year Target $15.37 (-19%)
3-Year Target $13.84 (-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 32→46) $19.94 (+5%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 32.2, Growth: 109.4%) $64.06 (+238%)
Base: (SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: 109.4%) $39.52 (+108%)
Bear: (PE: 16.9, Growth: 109.4%) $33.59 (+77%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 29.75 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.65
Bull Case $19.30 (+2%)
Analyst growth -9.3%, PE expands to 32.7
Base Case $17.54 (-8%)
Market implied -9.3%, PE stable at 29.8
Bear Case $13.15 (-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 25.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 32.2 to 46.4
Stabilization Target: $27.36 (+44.1%)
PE Expansion Potential: +44.1%
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Last updated: October 22, 2026 7:10 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:10 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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Advanced WY Option Strategies

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