WY Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
WY - Weyerhaeuser Company
$24.43
-0.19 (-0.77%)
▼
5d:
-0.53%
30d:
+3.34%
90d:
+3.87%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 30, 2026
0d
Smart Money Accumulation
Options open interest is building while the stock consolidates - a pattern consistent with institutional accumulation. View Scanner →
Signal fired Aug 17, 2026 at $24.08 · last confirmed Aug 17, 2026
Strength: 7.9/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: WY shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 10.3% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: WY shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 10.3% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$33.12
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$20.56
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: WY is currently trading at $24.43, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $23.78 to $25.17. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 35.9) compared to its historical average (49.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 10.3% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 87.1% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, WY is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $23.56, while resistance sits at $25.54.
Market Sentiment: WY scores 66/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $31.27 (+28.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, WY is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $23.56, while resistance sits at $25.54.
Market Sentiment: WY scores 66/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $31.27 (+28.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$23.78 -
$25.17
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
83.3%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (66/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 28.0% below Wall St target ($31.27)
- BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 66/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$23.78 -
$25.17
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$23.56
Resistance Level
$25.54
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
35.91
Wall Street Target
$31.27
(+28.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-0.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
87.1%
Profit Margin
6.9%
Valuation Discount vs History
-10.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
35.9 vs 49.8
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-10.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$21.99
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$19.79
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$17.81
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 36→50)
$24.70
(+1%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 35.9, Growth: 105.3%)
$82.45
(+238%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.1, Growth: 105.3%)
$46.08
(+89%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.1, Growth: 105.3%)
$39.17
(+60%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (37x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (36x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 37.30 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.66
Bull Case
$27.91
(+14%)
Analyst growth 3.1%, PE expands to 41.0
Base Case
$25.38
(+4%)
Market implied 3.1%, PE stable at 37.3
Bear Case
$16.74
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 31.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 35.9 to 49.8
Stabilization Target:
$33.88
(+38.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+38.7%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 23, 2026 12:57 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:57 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:57 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is WY showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-03-23
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Advanced WY Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's WY price and gamma walls.
