Weyerhaeuser (WY) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
WY - Weyerhaeuser Company
$18.59
-0.46 (-2.41%)
▼
5d:
-7.7%
30d:
-20.49%
90d:
-21.86%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 1, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 29, 2026
26d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: WY shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: WY shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$31.83
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$19.77
6.0% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: WY is currently trading at $18.59, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $20.39 to $23.58. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 28.4) compared to its historical average (47.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 15.7% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 87.1% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, WY is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $18.46. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: WY scores 25/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $30.64 (+64.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, WY is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $18.46. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: WY scores 25/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $30.64 (+64.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$20.39 -
$23.58
Company Quality Score
43/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
Protect Your Profits
Holding WY? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 64.8% below Wall St target ($30.64)
- WARNING: Composite score 43/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$20.39 -
$23.58
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$18.46
Resistance Level
$21.66
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 1, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
28.43
Wall Street Target
$30.64
(+64.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-0.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
87.1%
Profit Margin
6.9%
Valuation Discount vs History
-15.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
28.4 vs 47.5
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-15.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$16.73
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$15.06
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$13.55
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 28→48)
$22.64
(+22%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 28.4, Growth: 97.4%)
$62.74
(+238%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.4, Growth: 97.4%)
$45.02
(+142%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.3, Growth: 97.4%)
$38.27
(+106%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (30x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (28x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 29.77 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.64
Bull Case
$21.41
(+15%)
Analyst growth 2.2%, PE expands to 32.7
Base Case
$19.46
(+5%)
Market implied 2.2%, PE stable at 29.8
Bear Case
$12.95
(-30%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 25.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 28.4 to 47.5
Stabilization Target:
$31.06
(+67.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+67.1%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 02, 2026 4:57 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:57 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:57 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is WY showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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