APAM Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
APAM - ARTISAN PARTNERS ASSET MANAGEMENT INC.
$36.49
-0.13 (-0.35%)
▼
5d:
+3.05%
30d:
+3.61%
90d:
-1.48%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 10, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 04, 2026
21d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: APAM shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.3% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: APAM shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.3% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$46.40
Based on 4.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$28.81
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: APAM is currently trading at $36.49, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $34.84 to $36.50. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 9.1) is in line with its historical norms (9.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.3% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, APAM is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $37.21. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: APAM has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, APAM is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $37.21. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: APAM has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$34.84 -
$36.50
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
71.4%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($37.00)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$34.84 -
$36.50
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$33.96
Resistance Level
$37.21
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jul 10, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.11
Wall Street Target
$37.00
(+1.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
9.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-7.5%
Profit Margin
23.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
9.1 vs 9.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$36.02
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$35.55
(-3%)
3-Year Target
$35.09
(-4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 9→10)
$36.58
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 4.1%)
$98.39
(+170%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.1, Growth: 4.1%)
$41.16
(+13%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.7, Growth: 4.1%)
$34.98
(-4%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 8.95 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.09
Bull Case
$39.44
(+8%)
Analyst growth -2.1%, PE expands to 9.9
Base Case
$35.86
(-2%)
Market implied -2.1%, PE stable at 9.0
Bear Case
$24.90
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 7.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 9.1 to 9.5
Stabilization Target:
$38.05
(+4.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+4.3%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 13, 2026 5:06 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:06 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:06 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is APAM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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