Blue Owl Capital (OWL) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$10.19
-0.02 (-0.20%)
▼
5d:
-4.32%
30d:
+9.69%
90d:
-19.51%
Open in Live Scanner
70/30 Portfolio Builder
Earnings: Oct 29, 2026
0d
Protect OWL Gains
Updated Nov 11, 12:00 AM ET
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (29%)
Quality Score
36/100
Position
EXTENDED
30-Day Fair Range
$9.03 – $10.17
Position: EXTENDED
Forward P/E & Valuation
10.5x
FAIR
vs 10.9x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$12.64
+24.0% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$9.71 / $11.01
Trend: Sideways
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: OWL shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Smart Money Distribution
Options positioning is turning defensive after a sharp run-up - a pattern consistent with institutional profit-taking. View Scanner →
Signal fired Nov 2, 2026 at $10.96 · last confirmed Nov 11, 2026
Strength: 8.0/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$14.50
Based on 6.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$9.00
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: OWL is currently trading at $10.19, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $9.03 to $10.17. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 10.5) is in line with its historical norms (10.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.4% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 202.3% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, OWL is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $9.71, while resistance sits at $11.01.
Market Sentiment: OWL scores 13/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $12.64 (+24.0%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, OWL is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $9.71, while resistance sits at $11.01.
Market Sentiment: OWL scores 13/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $12.64 (+24.0%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$9.03 -
$10.17
Company Quality Score
36/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
28.6%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$9.03 -
$10.17
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support Level
$9.71
Resistance Level
$11.01
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Nov 11, 2026
Protect Your Profits
Holding OWL? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanQuantitative Signal Breakdown
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (13/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 24.0% below Wall St target ($12.64)
- WARNING: Composite score 36/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.46
Wall Street Target
$12.64
(+24.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
10.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
202.3%
Profit Margin
3.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
10.5 vs 10.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$10.05
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$9.91
(-3%)
3-Year Target
$9.77
(-4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→11)
$10.18
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 8.9%)
$24.97
(+145%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.5, Growth: 8.9%)
$13.16
(+29%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.9, Growth: 8.9%)
$11.18
(+10%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (11x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (10x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 10.53 | Forward EPS (Implied): $0.97
Bull Case
$12.30
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 11.1
Base Case
$10.19
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 10.5
Bear Case
$7.80
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 9.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 10.5 to 10.9
Stabilization Target:
$10.62
(+4.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+4.2%
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (OWL)
Bullish
2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bullish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Nov 1, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
Stock $OWL is trending on Stocktwits with bullish sentiment following a strong earnings report.
Key Retail Themes:
earnings report
trending stock
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 12, 2026 3:07 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:07 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:07 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is OWL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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