Blackstone (BX) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BX - Blackstone Inc.
$109.57
-0.77 (-0.70%)
▼
5d:
+3.16%
30d:
-11.64%
90d:
-11.99%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 22, 2026
0d
Smart Money Distribution
Options positioning is turning defensive after a sharp run-up - a pattern consistent with institutional profit-taking. View Scanner →
Signal fired Oct 20, 2026 at $111.08 · last confirmed Oct 21, 2026
Strength: 5.3/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: BX appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -5.4% annual earnings decline despite 57% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: BX appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -5.4% annual earnings decline despite 57% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$252.11
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$156.54
30.0% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 17.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BX is currently trading at $109.57, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $109.02 to $122.15. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 14.8) compared to its historical average (17.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 5.4% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 57.3% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BX is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $105.44, while resistance sits at $115.56.
Market Sentiment: BX scores 83/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $139.36 (+27.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BX is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $105.44, while resistance sits at $115.56.
Market Sentiment: BX scores 83/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $139.36 (+27.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$109.02 -
$122.15
Company Quality Score
74/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
90.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (83/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 27.2% below Wall St target ($139.36)
- BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 83/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$109.02 -
$122.15
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$105.44
Resistance Level
$115.56
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
14.81
Wall Street Target
$139.36
(+27.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
28.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
57.3%
Profit Margin
22.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-5.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
14.8 vs 17.5
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-5.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$103.65
(-5%)
2-Year Target
$98.06
(-11%)
3-Year Target
$92.76
(-15%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 15→18)
$109.60
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 25.3%)
$289.09
(+164%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 14.8, Growth: 25.3%)
$215.60
(+97%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.6, Growth: 25.3%)
$183.26
(+67%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (25x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (15x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 24.80 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.45
Bull Case
$201.78
(+84%)
Analyst growth 66.2%, PE expands to 27.3
Base Case
$183.43
(+67%)
Market implied 66.2%, PE stable at 24.8
Bear Case
$75.03
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 21.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 14.8 to 17.5
Stabilization Target:
$129.46
(+18.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+18.2%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 22, 2026 6:33 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:33 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:33 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is BX showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
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Advanced BX Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's BX price and gamma walls.
