BX Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

BX - Blackstone Inc.

INVESTMENT ADVICE
$143.38
2.03 (1.44%) ▲
5d: -0.38%
30d: +15.16%
90d: +20.92%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Protect Your BX Gains
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 22, 2026
Smart Money Distribution

Options positioning is turning defensive after a sharp run-up - a pattern consistent with institutional profit-taking. View Scanner →

Signal fired Aug 7, 2026 at $137.13 · last confirmed Aug 18, 2026

Strength: 7.3/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: BX shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$255.50
Based on 14.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$158.64
9.6% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 17.7x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: BX is currently trading at $143.38, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $126.01 to $142.28. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 19.1) is in line with its historical norms (17.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.6% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, BX is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $136.85, while resistance sits at $150.24.

Market Sentiment: BX scores 13/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range $126.01 - $142.28
Company Quality Score 48/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 24.8%

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All Signals

  • BEARISH: Price extended above range
  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (13/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($142.57)
  • NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 2.6% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
  • WARNING: Composite score 48/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $126.01 - $142.28
Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $136.85
Resistance Level $150.24
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of Aug 21, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 19.14
Wall Street Target $142.57 (-0.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 28.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 57.3%
Profit Margin 22.7%
Valuation Premium vs History +2.6% premium
PE vs Historical 19.1 vs 17.7 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +2.6% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $147.11 (+3%)
2-Year Target $150.93 (+5%)
3-Year Target $154.86 (+8%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 19→18) PE COMPRESSION $143.20 (0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 20.1, Growth: 24.5%) $289.78 (+102%)
Base: (SPY PE: 19.1, Growth: 24.5%) $276.37 (+93%)
Bear: (PE: 16.3, Growth: 24.5%) $234.91 (+64%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (32x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (19x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 32.49 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.35
Bull Case $267.74 (+87%)
Analyst growth 72.2%, PE expands to 35.7
Base Case $243.40 (+70%)
Market implied 72.2%, PE stable at 32.5
Bear Case $96.12 (-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 27.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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Last updated: August 22, 2026 5:02 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:02 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
3
Buys
3
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna BUY 2026-03-30
Ro Khanna BUY 2026-03-23
Holdings Iv Gp Mana Blac… BUY 2868069 shares 2026-03-20

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Advanced BX Option Strategies

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