APAM
ARTISAN PARTNERS ASSET MANAGEMENT INC.
INVESTMENT ADVICE
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APAM Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$38.49
-1.72 (-4.28%)
▼
5d:
-4.87%
30d:
+23.17%
90d:
-9.82%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (18%)
Quality Score
34/100
Position
EXTENDED
30-Day Fair Range
$32.32 – $38.11
Position: EXTENDED
Forward P/E & Valuation
10.8x
FAIR
vs 9.6x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$35.00
-9.1% vs target
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$34.89 / $40.93
Trend: Downtrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: APAM shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$30.41
Based on -2.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$18.88
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: APAM is currently trading at $38.49, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $32.32 to $38.11. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 10.8) compared to its historical average (9.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in 4.0% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, APAM is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $34.89, while resistance sits at $40.93. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 4.3% recently.
Market Sentiment: APAM scores 8/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, APAM is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $34.89, while resistance sits at $40.93. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 4.3% recently.
Market Sentiment: APAM scores 8/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$32.32 -
$38.11
Company Quality Score
34/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
17.6%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$32.32 -
$38.11
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support Level
$34.89
Resistance Level
$40.93
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Nov 11, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (8/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-4.3%)
- BEARISH: Trading above Wall St target ($35.00)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 4.0% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 34/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.79
Wall Street Target
$35.00
(-9.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
3.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
11.8%
Profit Margin
24.5%
Valuation Premium vs History
+4.0% premium
PE vs Historical
10.8 vs 9.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+4.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$40.03
(+4%)
2-Year Target
$41.63
(+8%)
3-Year Target
$43.30
(+13%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11→10)
PE COMPRESSION
$38.52
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: -8.5%)
$54.23
(+41%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.8, Growth: -8.5%)
$29.46
(-24%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.2, Growth: -8.5%)
$25.04
(-35%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 9.39 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.28
Bull Case
$36.87
(-4%)
Analyst growth -16.6%, PE expands to 10.3
Base Case
$33.52
(-13%)
Market implied -16.6%, PE stable at 9.4
Bear Case
$27.34
(-29%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 8.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (APAM)
Bullish
1 Retail Mentions
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Oct 27, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
Artisan Partners (APAM) reported Q3 2026 earnings, beating sales estimates by 1.4% and reporting a 3.7% year-on-year revenue growth. Assets under management grew at a slower rate compared to the industry.
Key Retail Themes:
earnings beat
revenue growth
assets under management
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 11, 2026 9:24 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:24 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:24 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is APAM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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