APAM Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
APAM - ARTISAN PARTNERS ASSET MANAGEMENT INC.
$37.91
-1.79 (-4.51%)
▼
5d:
-7.87%
30d:
-9.26%
90d:
+6.85%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 27, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: APAM shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: APAM shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$45.15
Based on 3.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$28.04
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: APAM is currently trading at $37.91, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $40.85 to $43.27. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 9.6) is in line with its historical norms (9.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.3% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 18.3% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, APAM is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $37.49. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 4.5% recently.
Market Sentiment: APAM scores 21/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, APAM is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $37.49. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 4.5% recently.
Market Sentiment: APAM scores 21/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$40.85 -
$43.27
Company Quality Score
42/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
47.6%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (21/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-4.5%)
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($39.50)
- WARNING: Composite score 42/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$40.85 -
$43.27
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$37.50
Resistance Level
$44.27
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.55
Wall Street Target
$39.50
(+4.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
8.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
18.3%
Profit Margin
24.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
9.6 vs 9.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$37.80
(0%)
2-Year Target
$37.68
(-1%)
3-Year Target
$37.57
(-1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→10)
$37.77
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: 2.9%)
$87.29
(+130%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.5, Growth: 2.9%)
$41.32
(+9%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.1, Growth: 2.9%)
$35.13
(-7%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (10x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (10x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 9.64 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.12
Bull Case
$42.08
(+11%)
Analyst growth -3.6%, PE expands to 10.6
Base Case
$38.25
(+1%)
Market implied -3.6%, PE stable at 9.6
Bear Case
$27.00
(-29%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 8.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 9.5 to 9.6
Stabilization Target:
$38.11
(+0.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+0.5%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 12, 2026 5:32 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:32 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:32 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
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Technical Signals Check
Is APAM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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