APAM Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
APAM - ARTISAN PARTNERS ASSET MANAGEMENT INC.
$34.88
-1.32 (-3.65%)
▼
5d:
-3.54%
30d:
-15.28%
90d:
-3.59%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 27, 2026
24d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: APAM shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: APAM shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$45.15
Based on 3.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$28.04
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: APAM is currently trading at $34.88, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $35.88 to $41.89. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 8.8) is in line with its historical norms (9.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.9% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 18.3% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, APAM is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $34.85. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.6% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 49/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $39.50 (+13.2%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, APAM is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $34.85. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.6% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 49/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $39.50 (+13.2%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$35.88 -
$41.89
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
72.4%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (49/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-3.6%)
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($39.50)
- NEUTRAL: Bottoming setup forming (49/100) — watch for confirmation
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$35.88 -
$41.89
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$34.85
Resistance Level
$37.20
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
8.79
Wall Street Target
$39.50
(+13.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
8.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
18.3%
Profit Margin
24.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical
8.8 vs 9.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$33.87
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$32.89
(-6%)
3-Year Target
$31.93
(-9%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 9→10)
$34.89
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.4, Growth: 2.9%)
$88.28
(+153%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 8.8, Growth: 2.9%)
$38.02
(+9%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.5, Growth: 2.9%)
$32.32
(-7%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 8.66 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.18
Bull Case
$37.82
(+8%)
Analyst growth -5.0%, PE expands to 9.5
Base Case
$34.38
(-1%)
Market implied -5.0%, PE stable at 8.7
Bear Case
$24.62
(-29%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 7.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 8.8 to 9.6
Stabilization Target:
$38.11
(+9.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+9.3%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 02, 2026 6:41 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:41 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:41 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
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Technical Signals Check
Is APAM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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