APD Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
APD - Air Products & Chemicals, Inc.
$305.10
4.77 (1.59%)
▲
5d:
-1.25%
30d:
+3.67%
90d:
+5.14%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 30, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: APD shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: APD shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$384.68
Based on 5.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$238.85
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 20.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: APD is currently trading at $305.10, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $294.38 to $304.28. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 21.1) is in line with its historical norms (20.2). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.5% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, APD is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $297.85. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 52/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $343.37 (+12.5%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, APD is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $297.85. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 52/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $343.37 (+12.5%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$294.38 -
$304.28
Company Quality Score
49/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
49.5%
Protect Your Profits
Holding APD? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (52/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($343.37)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 1.5% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 49/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$294.38 -
$304.28
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$297.85
Resistance Level
$311.51
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
21.13
Wall Street Target
$343.37
(+12.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
4.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
9.7%
Profit Margin
-0.4%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.5% premium
PE vs Historical
21.1 vs 20.2
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$309.68
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$314.32
(+3%)
3-Year Target
$319.04
(+5%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 21→20)
PE COMPRESSION
$304.97
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.1, Growth: 7.4%)
$378.14
(+24%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.1, Growth: 7.4%)
$359.15
(+18%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.1, Growth: 7.4%)
$305.28
(+0%)
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 23, 2026 1:23 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:23 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:23 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is APD showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
2
Buys
1
Sells
+
Net
NEUTRAL
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna
BUY
2026-03-23
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-03-10
Josh Gottheimer
BUY
2026-03-05
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Advanced APD Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's APD price and gamma walls.
