SQM Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SQM - Sociedad Quimica y Minera de Chile SA
$78.58
-2.26 (-2.80%)
▼
5d:
-6.39%
30d:
-12.45%
90d:
+9.11%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 3, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 26, 2026
0d
Get Alerted When SQM Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: SQM shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: SQM shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$102.90
Based on 1.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$63.89
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 16.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SQM is currently trading at $78.58, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $81.73 to $92.14. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 13.5) compared to its historical average (16.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 6.4% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 165.2% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SQM is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $78.01. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: SQM has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SQM is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $78.01. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: SQM has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$81.73 -
$92.14
Company Quality Score
52/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
52.4%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($81.28)
- CAUTION: 5-day price weakness (-6.4%) - monitor closely
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$81.73 -
$92.14
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$78.01
Resistance Level
$87.52
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 3, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
13.53
Wall Street Target
$81.28
(+3.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
69.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
165.2%
Profit Margin
15.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-6.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
13.5 vs 16.5
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-6.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$73.55
(-6%)
2-Year Target
$68.84
(-12%)
3-Year Target
$64.44
(-18%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 14→17)
$78.58
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.9, Growth: -1.1%)
$123.14
(+57%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 13.5, Growth: -1.1%)
$76.04
(-3%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.5, Growth: -1.1%)
$64.64
(-18%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (29x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (14x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 29.35 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.86
Bull Case
$181.20
(+116%)
Analyst growth 96.2%, PE expands to 32.3
Base Case
$164.73
(+96%)
Market implied 96.2%, PE stable at 29.4
Bear Case
$57.08
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 25.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 13.5 to 16.5
Stabilization Target:
$95.83
(+22.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+22.0%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 03, 2026 8:40 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:40 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:40 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is SQM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Top Rated Specialty Chemicals Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Specialty Chemicals by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
LIN
Linde plc Ordinary Shares |
BUY
28 analysts |
$542 | 62 BUY |
|
ECL
Ecolab Inc |
STRONG BUY
27 analysts |
$316 | 59 HOLD |
|
SHW
Sherwin-Williams Co |
BUY
28 analysts |
$381 | 57 HOLD |
|
IFF
International Flavors & … |
STRONG BUY
22 analysts |
$92 | 55 HOLD |
|
DD
Dupont De Nemours Inc |
STRONG BUY
20 analysts |
$57 | 55 HOLD |
