APH Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
APH - Amphenol Corporation
$147.62
-0.78 (-0.53%)
▼
5d:
+5.26%
30d:
+4.67%
90d:
+11.2%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 3, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 22, 2026
Smart Money Distribution
None View Scanner →
Strength: 9.0/10
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1 traders called APH this week
100% bullish • 0 bearish
100% bullish • 0 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: APH shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 3.0% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: APH shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 3.0% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$231.08
Based on 10.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$143.48
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: APH is currently trading at $147.62, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $126.29 to $146.28. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 26.2) is in line with its historical norms (28.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.0% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 24.1% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, APH is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $151.92. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: APH has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $182.00 (+23.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, APH is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $151.92. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: APH has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $182.00 (+23.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$126.29 -
$146.28
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
61.9%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 23.3% below Wall St target ($182.00)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$126.29 -
$146.28
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$119.60
Resistance Level
$151.92
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 3, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
26.20
Wall Street Target
$182.00
(+23.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
58.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
24.1%
Profit Margin
17.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-3.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical
26.2 vs 28.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-3.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$143.19
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$138.90
(-6%)
3-Year Target
$134.73
(-9%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 26→29)
$147.60
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 26.2, Growth: 17.0%)
$236.45
(+60%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.9, Growth: 17.0%)
$197.76
(+34%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.6, Growth: 17.0%)
$168.09
(+14%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (40x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (26x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 40.30 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.48
Bull Case
$249.46
(+69%)
Analyst growth 61.7%, PE expands to 44.3
Base Case
$226.79
(+54%)
Market implied 61.7%, PE stable at 40.3
Bear Case
$95.36
(-35%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 34.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 26.2 to 28.7
Stabilization Target:
$161.72
(+9.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+9.6%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 03, 2026 10:25 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:25 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:25 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is APH showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Richard Adam Norwitt
SELL
515281 shares
2026-02-12
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