AMSC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
AMSC - American Superconductor Corp
$46.67
-4.50 (-8.79%)
▼
5d:
-11.41%
30d:
-7.22%
90d:
+46.48%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 3, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 20, 2026
0d
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 6.7/10
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7 traders called AMSC this week
100% bullish • 0 bearish
100% bullish • 0 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: AMSC is down 11.4% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: AMSC is down 11.4% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$2.36
Based on -32.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$1.46
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AMSC is currently trading at $46.67, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $48.98 to $55.11. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 44.2) compared to its historical average (38.8). At these levels, the market is pricing in 4.4% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AMSC is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $45.46. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 8.8% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $65.33 (+40.0%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AMSC is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $45.46. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 8.8% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $65.33 (+40.0%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$48.98 -
$55.11
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
75.7%
Protect Your Profits
Holding AMSC? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-8.8%)
- BULLISH: Trading 40.0% below Wall St target ($65.33)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 4.4% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Recommendation downgraded due to -11.4% 5-day decline - wait for stabilization
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$48.98 -
$55.11
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$45.46
Resistance Level
$55.09
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 3, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
44.17
Wall Street Target
$65.33
(+40.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
29.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
221.5%
Profit Margin
44.7%
Valuation Premium vs History
+4.4% premium
PE vs Historical
44.2 vs 38.8
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+4.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$48.72
(+4%)
2-Year Target
$50.87
(+9%)
3-Year Target
$53.11
(+14%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 44→39)
PE COMPRESSION
$46.65
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 44.2, Growth: -69.5%)
$34.02
(+-27%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.9, Growth: -69.5%)
$16.88
(-64%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.6, Growth: -69.5%)
$14.35
(-69%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 17.27 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.05
Bull Case
$28.97
(-44%)
Analyst growth -50.0%, PE expands to 19.0
Base Case
$26.34
(-49%)
Market implied -50.0%, PE stable at 17.3
Bear Case
$35.82
(-30%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 14.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 03, 2026 11:32 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:32 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:32 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is AMSC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
David R Oliver Jr
SELL
200 shares
2026-02-24
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Advanced AMSC Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's AMSC price and gamma walls.
