ASB Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

ASB - Associated Banc-Corp

STATE COMMERCIAL BANKS
$30.84
0.08 (0.26%) ▲
5d: -4.61%
30d: +1.92%
90d: +9.95%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 22, 2026

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
â„šī¸ NEUTRAL: ASB is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 1.4% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$44.38
Based on 8.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$27.56
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.9x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: ASB is currently trading at $30.84, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $30.68 to $31.75. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 9.3) is in line with its historical norms (8.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.4% annual earnings growth.

Technical Outlook: Technically, ASB is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $30.59. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 42/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $34.44 (+11.7%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range $30.68 - $31.75
Company Quality Score 48/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 80.5%

All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (42/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($34.44)
  • BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 1.4% growth with 23.5% revenue growth
  • WARNING: Composite score 48/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $30.68 - $31.75
Current vs Trading Range SLIGHTLY LOW

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $30.59
Resistance Level $32.46
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of Aug 21, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 9.26
Wall Street Target $34.44 (+11.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 23.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -3.1%
Profit Margin 32.5%
Valuation Premium vs History +1.4% premium
PE vs Historical 9.3 vs 8.9 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +1.4% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $31.27 (+1%)
2-Year Target $31.71 (+3%)
3-Year Target $32.15 (+4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 9→9) PE COMPRESSION $30.91 (+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 20.1, Growth: 12.9%) $96.22 (+212%)
Base: (SPY PE: 9.3, Growth: 12.9%) $44.39 (+44%)
Bear: (PE: 7.9, Growth: 12.9%) $37.73 (+22%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (11x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (9x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 10.76 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.86
Bull Case $39.41 (+28%)
Analyst growth 16.5%, PE expands to 11.8
Base Case $35.82 (+16%)
Market implied 16.5%, PE stable at 10.8
Bear Case $20.92 (-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 9.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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Last updated: August 23, 2026 4:48 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:48 PM
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