Associated Banc-Corp (ASB) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ASB - Associated Banc-Corp
$29.18
0.09 (0.31%)
▲
5d:
+3.0%
30d:
+0.55%
90d:
-3.57%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 22, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: ASB shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.0% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: ASB shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.0% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$45.90
Based on 8.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$28.50
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ASB is currently trading at $29.18, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $28.56 to $29.52. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 8.6) is in line with its historical norms (8.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.0% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ASB is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $29.53. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: ASB scores 69/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $34.20 (+17.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ASB is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $29.53. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: ASB scores 69/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $34.20 (+17.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$28.56 -
$29.52
Company Quality Score
62/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
81.0%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (69/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($34.20)
- BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 69/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$28.56 -
$29.52
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$28.08
Resistance Level
$29.53
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
8.62
Wall Street Target
$34.20
(+17.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
23.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-3.1%
Profit Margin
32.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical
8.6 vs 8.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$28.89
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$28.60
(-2%)
3-Year Target
$28.31
(-3%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 9→9)
$29.22
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 13.7%)
$98.69
(+238%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 8.6, Growth: 13.7%)
$42.86
(+47%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.3, Growth: 13.7%)
$36.43
(+25%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (10x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (9x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 10.14 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.87
Bull Case
$37.73
(+29%)
Analyst growth 17.9%, PE expands to 11.2
Base Case
$34.30
(+18%)
Market implied 17.9%, PE stable at 10.1
Bear Case
$19.78
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 8.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 8.6 to 8.9
Stabilization Target:
$30.11
(+3.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+3.2%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 22, 2026 8:45 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:45 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:45 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ASB showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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