CBOE Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

CBOE - Cboe Global Markets, Inc.

SECURITY & COMMODITY BROKERS, DEALERS, EXCHANGES & SERVICES
$285.10
9.51 (3.45%) β–²
5d: -18.0%
30d: -15.88%
90d: -5.16%
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LOW Confidence
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Analysis Updated: Jun 3, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 31, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation

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Strength: 6.2/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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πŸ’‘
Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: CBOE is down 18.0% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction β†’

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$431.01
Based on 4.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$267.63
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 23.3x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: CBOE is currently trading at $285.10, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $310.04 to $363.00. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 19.6) compared to its historical average (23.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 5.7% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 54.4% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, CBOE is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $269.96, while resistance sits at $369.31. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.5% recently.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $330.43 (+15.9%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range $310.04 - $363.00
Company Quality Score 56/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 81.9%

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All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.5%)
  • BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($330.43)
  • WARNING: Recommendation downgraded due to -18.0% 5-day decline - wait for stabilization

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $310.04 - $363.00
Current vs Trading Range OVERSOLD

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $269.96
Resistance Level $369.31
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of Jun 3, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 19.57
Wall Street Target $330.43 (+15.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 6.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 54.4%
Profit Margin 25.8%
Valuation Discount vs History -5.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical 19.6 vs 23.3 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -5.7% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $268.85 (-6%)
2-Year Target $253.52 (-11%)
3-Year Target $239.07 (-16%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 20β†’23) $284.57 (0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 21.9, Growth: 5.8%) $377.54 (+32%)
Base: (SPY PE: 19.6, Growth: 5.8%) $337.31 (+18%)
Bear: (PE: 16.6, Growth: 5.8%) $286.71 (+1%)
πŸ“ˆ Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (30x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (20x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 30.31 | Current EPS (TTM): $11.47
Bull Case $480.33 (+40%)
Analyst growth 25.6%, PE expands to 33.3
Base Case $436.66 (+27%)
Market implied 25.6%, PE stable at 30.3
Bear Case $236.43 (-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 25.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
πŸ’‘ Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 19.6 to 23.3
Stabilization Target: $339.36 (+19.0%)
PE Expansion Potential: +19.0%
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Last updated: June 03, 2026 5:36 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:36 PM
πŸ”₯ Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
4
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Allen Wilkinson SELL 248 shares 2026-02-23
Alexander Matturri Jr SELL 1500 shares 2026-02-18
Edward J Fitzpatrick SELL 3947 shares 2026-02-18

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