ICE Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ICE - Intercontinental Exchange Inc.
$161.25
2.64 (1.66%)
▲
5d:
+4.21%
30d:
+12.6%
90d:
+6.44%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 30, 2026
0d
Smart Money Distribution
Options positioning is turning defensive after a sharp run-up - a pattern consistent with institutional profit-taking. View Scanner →
Signal fired Aug 7, 2026 at $150.30 · last confirmed Aug 20, 2026
Strength: 7.6/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: ICE shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: ICE shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$219.54
Based on 6.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$136.32
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 18.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ICE is currently trading at $161.25, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $142.51 to $155.78. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 18.3) is in line with its historical norms (18.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.5% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 14.2% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ICE is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $162.08. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: ICE scores 25/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $185.36 (+15.0%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ICE is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $162.08. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: ICE scores 25/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $185.36 (+15.0%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$142.51 -
$155.78
Company Quality Score
40/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
26.2%
Protect Your Profits
ICE is technically overbought (RSI 75). Consider hedging now to protect against a potential pullback while keeping your upside.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($185.36)
- WARNING: Composite score 40/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$142.51 -
$155.78
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$149.42
Resistance Level
$162.08
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
18.32
Wall Street Target
$185.36
(+15.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
4.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
14.2%
Profit Margin
38.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
18.3 vs 18.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$160.44
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$159.64
(-1%)
3-Year Target
$158.84
(-2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 18→19)
$161.30
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: 8.1%)
$222.90
(+38%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 18.3, Growth: 8.1%)
$203.43
(+26%)
Bear:
(PE: 15.6, Growth: 8.1%)
$172.91
(+7%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (22x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (18x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 22.18 | Current EPS (TTM): $7.15
Bull Case
$214.81
(+33%)
Analyst growth 23.1%, PE expands to 24.4
Base Case
$195.29
(+21%)
Market implied 23.1%, PE stable at 22.2
Bear Case
$107.85
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 18.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 18.3 to 18.6
Stabilization Target:
$163.74
(+1.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+1.5%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 24, 2026 2:11 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:11 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:11 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ICE showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
2
Buys
2
Sells
0
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-03-30
Ro Khanna
BUY
2026-03-23
Ro Khanna
BUY
2026-03-10
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