Capri (CPRI) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CPRI - Capri Holdings Limited
$13.89
1.01 (7.84%)
▲
5d:
+4.91%
30d:
-10.68%
90d:
-33.38%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 03, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: CPRI shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 13.5% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: CPRI shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 13.5% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$41.79
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$25.95
46.5% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CPRI is currently trading at $13.89, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $13.08 to $15.40. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 7.4) compared to its historical average (11.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 13.5% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 34.4% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CPRI is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $14.05. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 7.8% recently.
Market Sentiment: CPRI scores 60/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $22.53 (+62.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CPRI is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $14.05. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 7.8% recently.
Market Sentiment: CPRI scores 60/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $22.53 (+62.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$13.08 -
$15.40
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
88.1%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+7.8%)
- BULLISH: Trading 62.2% below Wall St target ($22.53)
- BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 60/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$13.08 -
$15.40
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$12.40
Resistance Level
$14.06
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
7.44
Wall Street Target
$22.53
(+62.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-3.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
34.4%
Profit Margin
4.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-13.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
7.4 vs 11.5
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-13.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$12.50
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$11.25
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$10.13
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 7→12)
$15.65
(+13%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: 32.5%)
$87.61
(+531%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 7.4, Growth: 32.5%)
$32.33
(+133%)
Bear:
(PE: 6.3, Growth: 32.5%)
$27.48
(+98%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (16x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (7x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 16.30 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.79
Bull Case
$28.34
(+104%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 17.9
Base Case
$25.76
(+86%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 16.3
Bear Case
$8.76
(-37%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 13.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 7.4 to 11.5
Stabilization Target:
$21.46
(+54.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+54.5%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 12, 2026 3:54 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:54 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:54 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CPRI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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