Tapestry (TPR) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
TPR - Tapestry, Inc. Common Stock
$118.49
2.62 (2.26%)
▲
5d:
-3.35%
30d:
-22.93%
90d:
-18.5%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 05, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: TPR shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: TPR shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$225.79
Based on 8.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$140.20
15.5% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 19.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TPR is currently trading at $118.49, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $118.64 to $150.66. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 15.1) compared to its historical average (19.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 8.3% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 73.7% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TPR is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $112.11, while resistance sits at $125.87.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 45/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $167.40 (+41.3%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TPR is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $112.11, while resistance sits at $125.87.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 45/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $167.40 (+41.3%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$118.64 -
$150.66
Company Quality Score
52/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
Protect Your Profits
Holding TPR? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 41.3% below Wall St target ($167.40)
- WARNING: Composite score 52/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$118.64 -
$150.66
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$112.11
Resistance Level
$125.87
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
15.12
Wall Street Target
$167.40
(+41.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
8.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
73.7%
Profit Margin
19.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-8.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
15.1 vs 19.6
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-8.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$108.66
(-8%)
2-Year Target
$99.64
(-16%)
3-Year Target
$91.37
(-23%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 15→20)
$118.43
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: 12.1%)
$222.53
(+88%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 15.1, Growth: 12.1%)
$166.83
(+41%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.9, Growth: 12.1%)
$141.80
(+20%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (16x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (15x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 16.06 | Current EPS (TTM): $7.27
Bull Case
$138.41
(+17%)
Analyst growth 7.8%, PE expands to 17.7
Base Case
$125.83
(+6%)
Market implied 7.8%, PE stable at 16.1
Bear Case
$79.38
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 13.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 15.1 to 19.6
Stabilization Target:
$153.59
(+29.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+29.6%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 13, 2026 4:19 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:19 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:19 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is TPR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Terri A. Sewell
SELL
2026-03-25
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