Tapestry (TPR) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
TPR - Tapestry, Inc. Common Stock
$118.12
-1.12 (-0.94%)
▼
5d:
+3.72%
30d:
-4.08%
90d:
-18.81%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 05, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: TPR shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: TPR shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$222.34
Based on 8.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$138.05
14.4% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 19.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TPR is currently trading at $118.12, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $113.22 to $124.46. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 15.1) compared to its historical average (19.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 7.9% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 73.7% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TPR is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $119.61. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: TPR scores 75/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $166.50 (+41.0%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TPR is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $119.61. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: TPR scores 75/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $166.50 (+41.0%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$113.22 -
$124.46
Company Quality Score
69/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
83.3%
Protect Your Profits
Holding TPR? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 41.0% below Wall St target ($166.50)
- CAUTION: Bottoming setup, but lagging the sector by 18% over 20 days — wait for relative strength
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$113.22 -
$124.46
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$109.79
Resistance Level
$119.61
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
15.07
Wall Street Target
$166.50
(+41.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
8.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
73.7%
Profit Margin
19.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-7.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical
15.1 vs 19.3
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-7.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$108.79
(-8%)
2-Year Target
$100.19
(-15%)
3-Year Target
$92.28
(-22%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 15→19)
$118.15
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.4, Growth: 12.1%)
$225.07
(+91%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 15.1, Growth: 12.1%)
$166.31
(+41%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.8, Growth: 12.1%)
$141.36
(+20%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (16x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (15x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 16.28 | Current EPS (TTM): $7.27
Bull Case
$140.36
(+19%)
Analyst growth 7.8%, PE expands to 17.9
Base Case
$127.60
(+8%)
Market implied 7.8%, PE stable at 16.3
Bear Case
$80.50
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 13.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 15.1 to 19.3
Stabilization Target:
$151.23
(+28.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+28.0%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 03, 2026 9:34 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:34 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:34 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is TPR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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