Tapestry (TPR) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
TPR - Tapestry, Inc. Common Stock
$110.49
-3.43 (-3.01%)
▼
5d:
-8.06%
30d:
-1.45%
90d:
-25.06%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 05, 2026
12d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: TPR shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: TPR shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$218.88
Based on 8.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$135.91
18.7% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 19.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TPR is currently trading at $110.49, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $113.17 to $118.04. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 14.5) compared to its historical average (19.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 8.5% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 73.7% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TPR is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $110.50. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.0% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 42/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $162.32 (+42.5%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TPR is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $110.50. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.0% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 42/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $162.32 (+42.5%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$113.17 -
$118.04
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
74.8%
Protect Your Profits
Holding TPR? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (42/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-3.0%)
- BULLISH: Trading 42.5% below Wall St target ($162.32)
- NEUTRAL: Bottoming setup forming (42/100) — watch for confirmation
- CAUTION: 5-day price weakness (-8.1%) - monitor closely
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$113.17 -
$118.04
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$110.50
Resistance Level
$122.08
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 23, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
14.54
Wall Street Target
$162.32
(+42.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
8.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
73.7%
Profit Margin
19.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-8.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
14.5 vs 19.0
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-8.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$104.24
(-9%)
2-Year Target
$95.38
(-16%)
3-Year Target
$87.27
(-23%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 15→19)
$114.05
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 12.1%)
$219.11
(+92%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 14.5, Growth: 12.1%)
$160.39
(+41%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.4, Growth: 12.1%)
$136.34
(+20%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (16x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (15x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 15.80 | Current EPS (TTM): $7.27
Bull Case
$136.20
(+20%)
Analyst growth 7.8%, PE expands to 17.4
Base Case
$123.82
(+9%)
Market implied 7.8%, PE stable at 15.8
Bear Case
$78.11
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 13.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 14.5 to 19.0
Stabilization Target:
$148.88
(+30.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+30.7%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 23, 2026 2:53 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:53 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:53 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is TPR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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