Is BRLT stock a Buy, Sell, or Hold?

Based on our analysis, BRLT is currently a WAIT with low confidence. 📊 MIXED SIGNALS: BRLT shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.

What is the fair value of BRLT stock?

Our analysis estimates the fair value range for BRLT to be between $1.37 and $1.49. The current price is $1.53.

What is the analyst price target for BRLT?

The average Wall Street analyst price target for BRLT is $1.59. This implies a potential upside of 3.8% from current levels.

Brilliant Earth Group (BRLT) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

BRLT - Brilliant Earth Group, Inc. Class A Common Stock

JEWELRY, SILVERWARE & PLATED WARE

$1.53

0.01 (0.66%) ▲

5d: +6.25%

30d: +8.51%

90d: +36.61%

WAIT

LOW Confidence

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Analysis Updated: Oct 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET

Earnings: Nov 05, 2026 13d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡

Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: BRLT shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.

See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: BRLT is currently trading at $1.53, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $1.37 to $1.49. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 15.0) compared to its historical average (16.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.5% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 23.8% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, BRLT is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $1.35, while resistance sits at $1.64.

Market Sentiment: BRLT scores 25/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED

Historical Trading Range $1.37 - $1.49

Company Quality Score 38/100 (SELL)

Volume Confirmation HIGH

Confidence Score 23.8%

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All Signals

BEARISH: Price extended above range
BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
BULLISH: High volume confirmation
NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($1.59)
WARNING: Composite score 38/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $1.37 - $1.49

Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $1.35

Resistance Level $1.64

Current Trend Strong Uptrend

Technical data as of Oct 21, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 15.00

Wall Street Target $1.59 (+3.8%)

Revenue Growth (YoY) 5.7%

Earnings Growth (YoY) 23.8%

Profit Margin -1.0%

Valuation Discount vs History -3.5% cheaper

PE vs Historical 15.0 vs 16.7 CHEAP

Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists

Implied Growth (YoY): -3.5% (market-implied from PE analysis)

1-Year Target $1.48 (-4%)

2-Year Target $1.42 (-7%)

3-Year Target $1.37 (-10%)

3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 15→17) $1.53 (0%)

3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth

Bull: (PE: 19.9, Growth: 41.7%) $5.76 (+276%)

Base: (SPY PE: 15.0, Growth: 41.7%) $4.35 (+184%)

Bear: (PE: 12.8, Growth: 41.7%) $3.70 (+142%)

💡 Upside Surprise Potential

If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 15.0 to 16.7

Stabilization Target: $1.70 (+11.3%)

PE Expansion Potential: +11.3%

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Last updated: October 22, 2026 9:30 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:30 AM

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Insider Activity (6 Months)

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