CSCO Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CSCO - Cisco Systems, Inc. Common Stock (DE)
$115.99
2.43 (2.14%)
▲
5d:
+1.59%
30d:
-0.87%
90d:
+26.77%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 12, 2026
8d
Smart Money Distribution
None View Scanner →
Strength: 9.0/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: CSCO shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: CSCO shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$143.39
Based on 8.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$89.03
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 20.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CSCO is currently trading at $115.99, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $111.93 to $118.63. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 24.2) compared to its historical average (20.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 5.9% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CSCO is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $117.28. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: CSCO has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $130.23 (+12.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CSCO is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $117.28. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: CSCO has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $130.23 (+12.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$111.93 -
$118.63
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
80.0%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($130.23)
- NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 5.9% growth which is achievable
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$111.93 -
$118.63
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$110.65
Resistance Level
$117.28
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
24.20
Wall Street Target
$130.23
(+12.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
12.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
37.1%
Profit Margin
19.7%
Valuation Premium vs History
+5.9% premium
PE vs Historical
24.2 vs 20.4
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+5.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$122.83
(+6%)
2-Year Target
$130.08
(+12%)
3-Year Target
$137.76
(+19%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 24→20)
PE COMPRESSION
$116.10
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 24.2, Growth: 12.0%)
$163.07
(+41%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.7, Growth: 12.0%)
$139.66
(+20%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.6, Growth: 12.0%)
$118.71
(+2%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (37x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (24x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 37.48 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.03
Bull Case
$197.56
(+70%)
Analyst growth 58.2%, PE expands to 41.2
Base Case
$179.60
(+55%)
Market implied 58.2%, PE stable at 37.5
Bear Case
$77.22
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 31.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 03, 2026 1:28 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:28 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:28 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CSCO showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
3
Buys
10
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna
BUY
2026-03-30
Maria Elvira Salazar
BUY
2026-03-19
Maria Elvira Salazar
BUY
2026-03-19
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